Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40057018›Full record

ArticleOsteoarthritis and cartilage2025

Latent transition analysis of pain phenotypes in people at risk of knee osteoarthritis: The MOST cohort study.

Yv Raghava Neelapala, Tuhina Neogi, Steven Hanna, Laura A Frey-Law, Luciana G Macedo, Dylan Kobsar, Cora E Lewis, Michael Nevitt, Lisa Carlesso

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoarthritis and cartilage, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yv Raghava NeelapalaSchool of Rehabilitation Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address: neelapay@mcmaster.ca.
Tuhina NeogiSection of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, Chobanian & Avedisian Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, United States. Electronic address: tneogi@bu.edu.
Steven HannaDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address: hannas@mcmaster.ca.
Laura A Frey-LawDepartment of Physical therapy and Rehabilitation Science, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States. Electronic address: laura-freylaw@uiowa.edu.
Luciana G MacedoSchool of Rehabilitation Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address: macedol@mcmaster.ca.
Dylan KobsarDepartment of Kinesiology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address: kobsard@mcmaster.ca.
Cora E LewisDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, United States. Electronic address: celewis@uabmc.edu.
Michael NevittDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatics, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States. Electronic address: Michael.Nevitt@ucsf.edu.
Lisa CarlessoSchool of Rehabilitation Science, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Electronic address: carlesl@mcmaster.ca.

Funding

Project 3: Intraarticular MineralizationU19AG076471 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2023 to 2026
$49.0M
Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) Second RenewalU01AG019069 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI NEVITT, MICHAEL C · 2001 to 2020
$21.7M
Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) Second Renewal: Iowa Clinical CenterU01AG018832 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI SEGAL, NEIL A, TORNER, JAMES C · 2001 to 2020
$14.1M
Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) Second Renewal - Boston UniversityU01AG018820 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI FELSON, DAVID TOBIN · 2001 to 2019
$13.6M
Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) Second Renewal - UAB Clinical CenterU01AG018947 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI LEWIS, CORA E · 2001 to 2020
$13.2M
Research and Evaluation Support Core Unit (RESCU Core)P30AR072571 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2019 to 2026
$6.9M
PRROPS: Pathways of Risk and Resilience for Overlapping Pain and SensitizationR01NS121419 · NINDS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI Emelia J. Benjamin, ROBERT R EDWARDS · 2021 to 2026
$3.7M
CAPSITE: Community Assessment of Pain and Sensitization in the ElderlyR01AG066010 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., EDWARDS, ROBERT R · 2020 to 2025
$3.3M
Pain in community-based older African American Adults: The Jackson Heart StudyR01AG066914 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., EDWARDS, ROBERT R · 2020 to 2024
$3.2M
The Role of Urate in Knee Osteoarthritis-Related Inflammation, Pathology and PainK24AR070892 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2017 to 2026
$1.1M
NIAMS NIH HHS K24 AR070892NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072571NIA NIH HHS R01 AG066010NIA NIH HHS R01 AG066914NIA NIH HHS U01 AG018820NIA NIH HHS U01 AG018832NIA NIH HHS U01 AG018947NIA NIH HHS U01 AG019069NIA NIH HHS U19 AG076471NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS121419
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePain phenotypes (PP) have been identified across different stages of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and understanding the stability of PPs prior to the development of symptomatic KOA can help to inform preventative strategies. We aimed to identify PPs and their transitions in people without radiographic KOA and profile participant characteristics.

designData from 5 - (T1), 7- (T2) and 12-year (T3) visits from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) were used. Individuals with Kellgren-Lawrence grade 0 and knee pain ≤30/100 at T1 were sampled. PP variables included pressure pain thresholds, temporal summation (with method changed at T3), depressive symptoms, pain catastrophizing, sleep quality, and widespread pain. Latent Transition Analysis using Bayesian Information Criteria informed class numbers and transitions. Unconstrained, constrained, and modified constrained models (conditional response probabilities fixed for indicator variables except for TS) were compared for fit. Participant characteristics were used to profile class membership.

results348 individuals (59% females), mean age (SD): 59.3 (6.7) were included. The optimal model fit for data across T1-T3 was a "modified" constrained model with 3 classes (class 1: low pain burden, class 2: high pain sensitization, class 3: high psychological burden). Classes were similar over time except for the increased probability of TS at T3. Most (86%) participants remained in the same class; only 14% transitioned overtime.

conclusionDistinct PPs were identified in those at risk of KOA that remained stable over time, suggesting these trait-like features may require consideration for comprehensive management of the symptom experience.

Indexed as

ArthralgiaOsteoarthritis, KneeAgedCatastrophizationCohort StudiesDepressionFemaleHumansLatent Class AnalysisMaleMiddle AgedPain MeasurementPain ThresholdPhenotypeSleep QualityEarly-stage knee osteoarthritisLongitudinal analysisPain profiles

Identifiers

PMID40057018
PMCPMC12034473

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.