Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40055795›Full record

Trial reportAIDS research and therapy2025

A survey weighted analysis of HPTN 071 (PopART) primary outcome of HIV incidence.

Timothy M Skalland, Jean de Dieu Tapsoba, Sahar Z Zangeneh, Sian Floyd, Helen Ayles, Peter Bock, Sarah Fidler, Susan H Eshleman, Richard J Hayes, Deborah Donnell and 1 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in AIDS research and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01900977 (Population Effects of Antiretroviral Therapy to Reduce HIV Transmission), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01900977 nacompletednot on this map

Population Effects of Antiretroviral Therapy to Reduce HIV Transmission (PopART): A Cluster-randomized Trial of the Impact of a Combination Prevention Package on Population-level HIV Incidence in Zambia and South Africa

TypeinterventionalSponsorHIV Prevention Trials NetworkRan2014 to 2018Enrolled48,540ConditionsHIVArmsUniversal Testing with immediate ART, Universal Testing with ART eligibility according to National Guidelines, Standard of Care
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Timothy M SkallandVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N, Mail Stop M2-C200, 206-667-118698109, Seattle, WA, USA. tskallan@fredhutch.org.
Jean de Dieu TapsobaVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N, Mail Stop M2-C200, 206-667-118698109, Seattle, WA, USA.
Sahar Z ZangenehCenter for Official Statistics, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, USA.
Sian FloydLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Helen AylesSchool of Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.
Peter BockDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, The Desmond Tutu Tuberculosis Centre, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Sarah FidlerDepartment of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK.
Susan H EshlemanJohns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, USA.
Richard J HayesLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Deborah DonnellVaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N, Mail Stop M2-C200, 206-667-118698109, Seattle, WA, USA.
HPTN 071 (PopART) Study Team

Funding

SDMC: HPTN 084 Pregnancy SupplementUM1AI068617 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Elizabeth Renata Brown, Deborah J Donnell · 2011 to 2026
$204.9M
LC: HIV Prevention Trials Network - Laboratory Support for the SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Study (CoVPN 5002)UM1AI068613 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SUSAN H ESHLEMAN, Mark A Marzinke · 2011 to 2026
$100.2M
Stellenbosch University Clinical Trial Unit, Cape Town, South AfricaUM1AI069521 · NIAID · STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY · PI Shaun Barnabas, Anneke Catharina Hesseling · 2012 to 2026
$21.5M
NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068613NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068617NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069521
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionHPTN 071 (PopART) implemented a comprehensive HIV prevention package which aimed to reduce HIV incidence within 21 communities of Zambia and South Africa: Arm A, PopART intervention of universal HIV testing and treatment; Arm B, PopART intervention of universal HIV testing with ART provided according to local guidelines; and Arm C, standard of care. Analyses so far have not accounted for the sampling design of the enrolled cohort. We performed a sample-weighted re-analysis of the primary outcome of the PopART trial to derive a population-based estimate of the intervention effect.

methodsEnrollment used a two-stage sampling design: household and adult participant within each household. We constructed post-stratification weights to match the age and sex distribution of the target population in these communities. Weighted Poisson regression was used to estimate community-level HIV incidence. The PopART intervention effect was estimated using log-transformed community-level incidence estimates in an ANCOVA model.

resultsThe analysis based on community-level incidence shows a 25% reduction in incidence for Arm B communities compared to standard of care (RR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.56-1.02, p = 0.06) while Arm A communities show no difference in HIV incidence compared to standard of care (RR: 1.08, 95% CI: 0.81-1.46, p = 0.56).

conclusionsOur re-analysis shows 25% reduction in HIV incidence comparing Arm B to Arm C communities. No effect was observed comparing Arm A communities to Arm C communities. These results align with the primary results of the PopART trial. CLINICALTRIALS: gov number, NCT01900977, HPTN 071 [PopArt].

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSouth AfricaYoung AdultZambiaHIVIncidencePopARTSamplingSurveyUTTWeighting

Identifiers

PMID40055795
PMCPMC11887120

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.