Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40055522›Full record

Trial reportNature medicine2025

Circulating tumor DNA analysis guiding adjuvant therapy in stage II colon cancer: 5-year outcomes of the randomized DYNAMIC trial.

Jeanne Tie, Yuxuan Wang, Serigne N Lo, Kamel Lahouel, Joshua D Cohen, Rachel Wong, Jeremy D Shapiro, Samuel J Harris, Adnan Khattak, Matthew E Burge and 19 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 95 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
95citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

95 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Tissue-Free Circulating Tumor DNA Assay and Patient Outcome in a Phase III Trial of FOLFOX-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy (Alliance N0147).Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
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35 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Jeanne Tie *Division of Personalised Oncology, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. jeanne.tie@petermac.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9244-2057
Yuxuan Wang *Ludwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Serigne N LoResearch and Biostatistics, Melanoma Institute Australia, The University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5092-5544
Kamel LahouelCenter for Cancer Prevention, Early Detection and Monitoring, City of Hope, Duarte, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4339-5749
Joshua D CohenLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1158-5668
Rachel WongDepartment of Medical Oncology, Eastern Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4926-5689
Jeremy D ShapiroDepartment of Medical Oncology, Cabrini Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Samuel J HarrisDepartment of Medical Oncology, Bendigo Health, Bendigo, Victoria, Australia.
Adnan KhattakDepartment of Medical Oncology, Fiona Stanley Hospital, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Matthew E BurgeDepartment of Medical Oncology, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Margaret LeeDepartment of Medical Oncology, Eastern Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Marion HarrisDepartment of Medical Oncology, Monash Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Sue-Anne McLachlanDepartment of Medical Oncology, St Vincent's Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Lisa HorvathDepartment of Medical Oncology, Chris O'Brien Lifehouse, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Christos KarapetisDepartment of Medical Oncology, Flinders Medical Centre, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Jenny ShannonDepartment of Medical Oncology, Nepean Cancer Care Centre, Kingswood, New South Wales, Australia.
Madhu SinghDepartment of Medical Oncology, Barwon Health, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Desmond YipDepartment of Medical Oncology, Canberra Hospital, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Sumitra AnandaEpworth Freemasons, Richmond, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Craig UnderhillBorder Medical Oncology, Albury, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9335-2678
Janine PtakLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Natalie SillimanLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Lisa DobbynLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Maria PopoliLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Nickolas PapadopoulosLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7135-7451
Cristian TomasettiCenter for Cancer Prevention, Early Detection and Monitoring, City of Hope, Duarte, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3277-4804
Kenneth W KinzlerLudwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Bert Vogelstein *Ludwig Center for Cancer Genetics and Therapeutics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0766-3854
Peter Gibbs *Division of Personalised Oncology, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Funding

Translational Research Central ServicesP30CA006973 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI WILLIAM George NELSON · 1985 to 2026
$208.6M
Tumor Antigens for Individual Signatures and TherapyP50CA062924 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI JAFFEE, ELIZABETH M. · 1993 to 2022
$54.6M
Medical Scientist Training ProgramT32GM136577 · NIGMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ANDREA L COX · 2020 to 2026
$13.4M
ONCOLOGY: CHEMOTHERAPY, IMMUNOLOGY, BIOLOGYT32CA009071 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Mary Y Armanios, Nilofer S. Azad · 1985 to 2026
$12.8M
Department of Health | National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) APP1085531NCI NIH HHS P30 CA006973NCI NIH HHS P50 CA062924NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009071NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM136577U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH) CA62924, CA009071, GM136577 and CA06973
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early data from the DYNAMIC study of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)-guided adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) versus standard approach met its primary outcome demonstrating reduced ACT use without compromising 2-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) for stage II colon cancer. We report here other prespecified analyses of overall survival, ctDNA clearance and ctDNA level. At a median follow-up of 59.7 months, 5-year RFS was 88% and 87% with ctDNA-guided and standard management, respectively (difference 1.1%, 95% confidence interval -5.8% to 8.0%), and 5-year overall survival is similar (93.8% versus 93.3%, hazard ratio (HR) 1.05; P = 0.887). For treated ctDNA-positive patients, ctDNA clearance was observed at the end of ACT (EOT) in 35 out of 40 patients (87.5%). A higher than median postoperative tumor-derived mutant molecules per milliliter plasma was associated with worse 5-year RFS (HR 10.62; P = 0.005). For treated ctDNA-positive patients, post hoc analysis of ctDNA clearance at EOT assessed by a new assay that evaluated an average of 29 tumor-derived mutations per patient predicted for a favorable 5-year recurrence-free probability of 97% versus 0% for ctDNA persistence (P < 0.001). Mature DYNAMIC outcome data support a ctDNA-guided approach to ACT for stage II colon cancer, with potential to further risk stratify ctDNA-positive patients based on ctDNA burden and EOT results. Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry Identifier: ACTRN12615000381583 .

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNAColonic NeoplasmsAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorChemotherapy, AdjuvantDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm StagingTreatment OutcomeBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID40055522
PMCPMC12974608

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.