Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40052181›Full record

ArticleOrthopaedic journal of sports medicine2025

Nonoperative Treatment of Anterior Cruciate Ligament Tears With 5-Year Follow-up.

Caitlin M Rugg, Lue-Yen Tucker, David Y Ding

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Orthopaedic journal of sports medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Caitlin M RuggDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Permanente Medical Group, San Jose, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5845-0747
Lue-Yen TuckerDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7980-9272
David Y DingDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, The Permanente Medical Group, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8423-7245

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: It remains unknown whether anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction (ACLR) alters the natural history of degenerative changes or prevents further injury compared with nonoperative treatment. Purpose/Hypothesis: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the midterm risk of knee surgery in patients who sustained an ACL tear treated with initial nonoperative management. It was hypothesized that the majority of patients who pursue initial nonoperative treatment after ACL rupture will not undergo further surgery within 5 years. Study Design: Case series; Level of evidence, 4. Methods: An electronic health record search was performed for all patients aged 12 to 65 years from 2011 to 2012 with magnetic resonance imaging-confirmed ACL tear. Patients who did not undergo ACLR within 6 months after diagnosis comprised our initial cohort. Patients were longitudinally followed until August 31, 2017. The primary outcome was an occurrence of ipsilateral knee surgery, including ACLR and non-ACLR procedures. Results: A total of 932 patients with a mean age of 36.2 ± 13.6 years were included. The mean follow-up time was 57.9 ± 7.4 months. During the follow-up period, 365 patients (39.2%) had ipsilateral knee surgery, with a mean time from ACL tear diagnosis to the first procedure of 11.9 ± 13.0 months. Overall, 67% of surgeries occurred within 12 months of diagnosis. ACLR was performed in 211 patients (22.6%); 284 patients had non-ACLR knee procedures, with 130 undergoing ACLR and non-ACLR surgery and 154 patients undergoing non-ACLR procedures alone. After adjusting for demographic and clinical factors, younger age remained a significant risk factor for undergoing ACLR: patients aged 12 to 18 years and those aged 19 to 30 years had similar adjusted hazard ratios compared with patients aged 51 to 65 years (5.49 [95% CI, 2.78-10.88] and 5.48 [95% CI, 2.85-10.53], respectively; Conclusion: In this universally insured, contained patient cohort, 39.2% of the patients underwent a subsequent surgical procedure on the ipsilateral knee within 5 years of ACL injury, with 22.6% of patients opting to undergo delayed ACLR. Younger age was an independent risk factor for undergoing ACLR.

Indexed as

ACLaging athletekneemeniscusphysical therapy/rehabilitation

Identifiers

PMID40052181
PMCPMC11881924

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.