Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40051120›Full record

ArticleArthritis care & research2025

Global Trends in Risk Factors for Low Back Pain: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study Data From 1990 to 2021.

Katharine E Roberts, Manuela L Ferreira, Paula R Beckenkamp, Sneha Nicholson, Lyn March, Paulo H Ferreira

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Article in Arthritis care & research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Katharine E RobertsThe University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-0017-0803
Manuela L FerreiraThe George Institute for Global Health, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-3479-0683
Paula R BeckenkampThe University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-3986-6111
Sneha NicholsonThe University of Washington, Seattle.
Lyn MarchThe Kolling Institute, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1736-8111
Paulo H FerreiraThe University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-6312-6098

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates FoundationNational Health and Medical Research CouncilUniversity of Sydney APP1180474
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThe increasing burden associated with low back pain (LBP) is a critical issue. This is a novel analysis of trends in risk factors for LBP aiming to identify risk factors that require further attention or consideration in global policies to reduce the burden of LBP.

methodsThe Global Burden of Disease study metadata were used to describe the trends in three modifiable categories of risk factors that contribute to the burden associated with LBP. The trends in occupational/ergonomic, behavioral (smoking), and metabolic (high body mass index [BMI]) risk factors for LBP between 1990 and 2021 have been described with attention to global areas, high sociodemographic index (SDI) areas, and low SDI areas.

resultsThe number of years lived with disability (YLDs) caused by LBP increased globally, in high and low SDI areas between 1990 and 2021. The impact of smoking and occupational/ergonomic risk factors have decreased; however, the impact of high BMI has increased markedly in the same time frame, with a particularly concerning impact in high SDI areas and on women.

conclusionThe burden of LBP is increasing globally, with a significant proportion of the YLDs caused by LBP attributed to three modifiable lifestyle factors: occupation/ergonomics, smoking, and high BMI. Of significant concern is the rapidly increasing impact of high BMI on YLDs caused by LBP, with the greatest impact seen among women in low and high SDI areas. The role of additional risk factors (eg, physical inactivity) still needs to be determined in the context of the global burden of LBP.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseLow Back PainAdultBody Mass IndexFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSmokingTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID40051120
PMCPMC12209496

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.