Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40050636›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Dramatic ENSO related Southwestern Atlantic ecosystem shifts.

Simon A Morley, Fabio Campanella, Emma F Young, Alastair M M Baylis, David K A Barnes, James B Bell, Ashley Bennison, Martin A Collins, Trevor Glass, Stephanie M Martin and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Simon A MorleyBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK. smor@bas.ac.uk.
Fabio CampanellaCentre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, UK.
Emma F YoungBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK.
Alastair M M BaylisSouth Atlantic Environmental Research Institute, Stanley, Falkland Islands.
David K A BarnesBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK.
James B BellCentre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, UK.
Ashley BennisonBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK.
Martin A CollinsBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK.
Trevor GlassTristan da Cunha Government, Edinburgh of the Seven Seas, Tristan da Cunha, UK.
Stephanie M MartinBritish Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK.
Paul WhomersleyCentre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, UK.
Andy SchofieldRoyal Society for the Protection of Birds, Sandy, UK.

Funding

Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office Blue BeltNatural Environment Research Council NE/R000107/1, NE/T012439/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) events are becoming more frequent and more intense as climate change continues. Although ENSO effects are known to propagate into the southwest Atlantic, knowledge of how these anomalies result in ecological impacts is yet to be documented. A 3600 km transect in the southwest Atlantic from the Falkland Islands (Malvinas) to Tristan da Cunha during La Niña (March 2018) found a more abundant and speciose seabird assemblage, with more filter-feeding seabird and cetacean species, and a shallower and more concentrated pelagic biomass, than a near identical transect during El Niño (March 2019). Changes in wind and sea surface temperature anomalies correlated, through a one-to-three-month lag, to the peak BEST (Bivariate ENSO Index) index. Stronger winds and greater near surface ocean mixing are for the first time described as mechanisms through which ENSO events can propagate across the southwest Atlantic Ocean basin to alter pelagic ecosystem structure and communities.Main Text.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemEl Nino-Southern OscillationAnimalsAtlantic OceanBiomassBirdsTemperatureWind

Identifiers

PMID40050636
PMCPMC11885653

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.