Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40050485›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2025

Optimizing Outcomes in Gallbladder Cancer: Identifying Predictors of Futile Up-Front Surgery in a Global Multi-center Study.

Matteo Serenari, Davide Berti, Belen Rivera, Timothy E Newhook, Werner Kristjanpoller, Andrea Ruzzenente, Masayuki Okuno, Mario De Bellis, Elena Panettieri, M Usman Ahmad and 27 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

37 authors.

Matteo SerenariHepatobiliary Surgery and Transplant Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Di Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Davide BertiDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences (DIMEC), University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Belen RiveraDepartment of Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Timothy E NewhookDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Werner KristjanpollerDepartment of Industries, Universidad Tecnica Federico Santa Maria, Valparaiso, Chile.
Andrea RuzzenenteDepartment of Surgery, Dentistry, Gynecology and Pediatrics, Division of General and Hepatobiliary Surgery, University of Verona, G.B. Rossi University Hospital, Verona, Italy.
Masayuki OkunoDepartment of Gastroenterological Surgery, Hyogo Medical University, Hyogo, Japan.
Mario De BellisDepartment of Surgery, Dentistry, Gynecology and Pediatrics, Division of General and Hepatobiliary Surgery, University of Verona, G.B. Rossi University Hospital, Verona, Italy.
Elena PanettieriHepatobiliary Surgery Unit, Foundation "Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli" IRCCS, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
M Usman AhmadDepartment of Surgery, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Ignacio MerloGeneral Surgery and Liver Transplant Unit, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Agostino Maria De RoseHepatobiliary Surgery Unit, Foundation "Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli" IRCCS, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
Hiroto NishinoDepartment of Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Andrew J SinnamonSection of Hepatobiliary Tumors, Department of Gastrointestinal Oncology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, FL, USA.
Matteo DonadonDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Piemonte Orientale, Novara, Italy.
Marit S HaugerDepartment of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Oscar M GuevaraInstituto Nacional de Cancerologia, Bogota, Colombia.
Cesar MunozUGI and HPB Surgery Unit, Hospital Regional de Talca, Universidad Catolica del Maule, Talca, Chile.
Jason DenboSection of Hepatobiliary Tumors, Department of Gastrointestinal Oncology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, FL, USA.
Yun Shin ChunDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Hop S Tran CaoDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Rodrigo Sanchez ClariaGeneral Surgery and Liver Transplant Unit, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Ching-Wei D TzengDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Xabier De AretxabalaGallbladder Consortium Chile, Department of Digestive Surgery, Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery Unit, Surgery Service, Sotero del Rio Hospital and Clinica Alemana de Santiago, Santiago, Chile.
Marcelo VivancoGallbladder Consortium Chile, Department of Digestive Surgery, Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery Unit, Surgery Service, Sotero del Rio Hospital and Clinica Alemana de Santiago, Santiago, Chile.
Kristoffer W BrudvikDepartment of Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Satoru SeoDepartment of Surgery, Kochi Medical School, Kochi, Japan.
Juan PekoljGeneral Surgery and Liver Transplant Unit, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
George A PoultsidesDepartment of Surgery, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Daniel A AnayaSection of Hepatobiliary Tumors, Department of Gastrointestinal Oncology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute, Tampa, FL, USA.
Guido TorzilliDivision of Hepatobiliary and General Surgery, IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Rozzano, Milan, Italy.
Felice GiulianteHepatobiliary Surgery Unit, Foundation "Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli" IRCCS, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy.
Alfredo GuglielmiDepartment of Surgery, Dentistry, Gynecology and Pediatrics, Division of General and Hepatobiliary Surgery, University of Verona, G.B. Rossi University Hospital, Verona, Italy.
Eduardo VinuelaGallbladder Consortium Chile, Department of Digestive Surgery, Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery Unit, Surgery Service, Sotero del Rio Hospital and Clinica Alemana de Santiago, Santiago, Chile.
Jean-Nicolas VautheyDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Matteo Cescon *Hepatobiliary Surgery and Transplant Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Di Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Eduardo A VegaDepartment of Surgical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA. eavega@bu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4643-0634

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGallbladder cancer (GBC) has a poor prognosis, particularly in advanced stages, with surgery often offering limited survival benefit. This study aimed to identify risk factors for futile surgery (FS), defined as procedures followed by early recurrence or death.

methodsAn international cohort of 788 patients who underwent up-front GBC surgery across 18 centers was analyzed. Futility was defined as recurrence within 5 months or death within 90 days after oncological surgery. A multivariate model was built, and an online calculator was developed to predict the probability of FS.

resultsA total of 107 patients (13.6%) experienced FS, with a median survival of only 6.8 months, compared with 57.4 months for nonfutile cases. The key risk factors identified were the T3-T4 tumor stage (odds ratio [OR] 2.20; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30-3.71), lymph node involvement (OR 1.91; 95% CI 1.22-2.98), and multivisceral resection (OR 2.25; 95% CI 1.28-3.94). Incidental GBC diagnoses showed a lower risk of FS (OR 0.41; 95% CI 0.25-0.67). The predictive model had a strong discriminative ability (c-statistic: 0.749). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the superiority of the multivariate model over individual predictors.

conclusionsRefining patient selection can reduce futile surgeries in GBC. The predictive model provides a valuable online tool ( https://aicep.website/?cff-form=25 ) to improve decision-making and outcomes by minimizing unnecessary interventions.

Indexed as

CholecystectomyGallbladder NeoplasmsMedical FutilityNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSurvival Rate

Identifiers

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.