Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40045581›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and health2025

Preventable cancer cases and deaths attributable to deficit of physical activity in Korea from 2015 to 2030.

Soseul Sung, Sungji Moon, Jihye An, Jeehi Jung, Hyeon Sook Lee, Youjin Hong, Sangjun Lee, Woojin Lim, Kyungsik Kim, Inah Kim and 18 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Soseul SungDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Sungji MoonDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Jihye AnDepartment of Epidemic Intelligence Service, Incheon Communicable Diseases Center, Incheon, Korea.
Jeehi JungDepartment of Biomedicine & Health Science, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea.
Hyeon Sook LeeIncheon Public Health Policy Institute, Incheon, Korea.
Youjin HongDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Sangjun LeeDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Woojin LimDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Kyungsik KimDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Inah KimDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Jung Eun LeeDepartment of Food and Nutrition, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea.
Sun Ha JeeDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.
Aesun ShinDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Ji-Yeob ChoiDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Korea.
Sun-Seog KweonDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Chonnam National University Medical School, Hwasun, Korea.
Min-Ho ShinDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Chonnam National University Medical School, Hwasun, Korea.
Sangmin ParkDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Korea.
Seungho RyuDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Sun Young YangDepartment of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Korea.
Seung Ho ChoiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Healthcare Research Institute, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Korea.
Jeongseon KimGraduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Sang-Wook YiDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Catholic Kwandong University College of Medicine, Gangneung, Korea.
Yoon-Jung ChoiGraduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Jeong-Soo ImDivision of Cancer Registration and Surveillance, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Hong Gwan SeoGraduate School of Cancer Science and Policy, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Sohee ParkDepartment of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea.
Kwang-Pil KoDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Sue K ParkDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to determine the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of cancers using various calculation methods and to estimate the PAFs of cancer incidence and mortality resulting from deficit in physical activity (DPA) from 2015 to 2030, based on data on prevalence rates.

methodsThe PAF of cancer was estimated using a cohort study-based meta-analysis of relative risk (RR), national prevalence rates of DPA from 2000 to 2015, and national cancer statistics from 2015 to 2030, with a latency of 15 years.

resultsIn 2015, DPA contributed to 909 cancer cases and 548 deaths, accounting for 0.42% and 0.68% of new cancer cases and deaths, respectively. By 2030, the PAF values are expected to increase to 1.31% of incidence and 1.80% of mortality, with a continual increase from 2015 to 2030. When the low metabolic equivalent of task (MET) criteria were selected, the PAF values decreased for both incidence and mortality. The PAF calculated with <900 MET-min/wk for the sex-specific MET criterion was higher than that calculated with <900 MET-min/wk for both incidence and mortality.

conclusionsThe risk of cancer associated with DPA is expected to rise in both male and female. Future research and strategies should emphasize the promotion of physical activity for cancer prevention, considering its significant implications for public health.

Indexed as

ExerciseNeoplasmsSedentary BehaviorAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRepublic of KoreaRisk FactorsEpidemiologyExerciseKoreaPhysical ativityPopulation-attributable fraction

Identifiers

PMID40045581
PMCPMC12531471

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.