Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40044460›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

Factors driving adolescent tuberculosis incidence by age and sex in 30 high-tuberculosis burden countries: a mathematical modelling study.

Silvia S Chiang, Megan B Murray, Alexander W Kay, Peter J Dodd

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Silvia S ChiangDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2318-3802
Megan B MurrayDepartment of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Alexander W KayDepartment of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Peter J DoddDivision of Population Health, The University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK p.j.dodd@sheffield.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5825-9347

Funding

Teens on TB Treatment: Predicting Adherence through Clinical Decision AnalysisK01TW010829 · FIC · RHODE ISLAND HOSPITAL · PI CHIANG, SILVIA SHINPEI · 2017 to 2021
$775k
Developing Clinical Prediction Tools to Define Strategies for Differentiated Service Delivery in Children and Adolescents Living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa.K01TW011482 · FIC · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI KAY, ALEXANDER WILLIAM · 2020 to 2024
$749k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW010829FIC NIH HHS K01 TW011482
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDuring adolescence, tuberculosis incidence rises, with a greater increase in males compared with females. Tuberculosis notifications and estimates infrequently disaggregate adolescent age groups. Moreover, the factors that drive the increases in overall incidence and the male-to-female (MF) ratio remain unclear.

methodsWe constructed a mechanistic model to estimate cumulative

resultsIn 2019, 91.2 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 83.9 to 99.3 million) adolescents in the 30 HBCs had been infected with

conclusionGlobally, large numbers of adolescents have been infected by

Indexed as

TuberculosisAdolescentAge FactorsChildFemaleGlobal HealthHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleModels, TheoreticalRisk FactorsSex FactorsYoung AdultHIVNutritionTuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID40044460
PMCPMC11883532

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.