Daily physical activity and trajectories of care service use among older adults: the HUNT4 Trondheim 70+ study.

Introduction: Understanding factors that influence care service use is crucial for developing preventive strategies to maintain independence among older adults. In this study, we aimed to identify distinct trajectory groups of municipal care service use among community-dwelling older adults to determine whether daily physical activity is associated with future care service use. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 981 community-dwelling older adults from the HUNT4 Trondheim 70+ study. At baseline, physical activity was assessed over seven consecutive days using two accelerometers attached to the thigh and lower back. An activity type machine learning model was used to classify the physical activity types: walking, standing, cycling, running, sitting, and lying. Municipal care service use was retrieved monthly from medical records for 3 years. Using group-based trajectory modeling, we identified distinct trajectories of care service use. Multinomial regression models adjusted for age, sex, education level, dementia, and physical performance were used to evaluate the associations between daily physical activity at baseline and care service group belonging. Results: We identified four distinct trajectory groups of municipal care service use, labeled Conclusion: This study identified four distinct trajectories of municipal care service use among older adults over 3 years. Total daily physical activity was not associated with trajectories of care service use, but more time spent walking in longer bouts was independently associated with lower care service use, even when adjusted for the strong predictors of physical performance, dementia diagnosis, and age.