Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40037821›Full record

ArticleSchizophrenia bulletin2025

Parent-Rated Schizotypy and Clinician-Rated Psychotic Experiences in Early Adolescence as Predictors of Schizophrenia Diagnosis by Middle Adulthood.

Kirstie J M O'Hare, Richie Poulton, Richard J Linscott

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Schizophrenia bulletin, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kirstie J M O'HareDepartment of Psychology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-1166-9792
Richie PoultonDunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Research Unit, Department of Psychology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Richard J LinscottDepartment of Psychology, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0001-5456-917X

Funding

Is mental disorder a preventable cause of age-related disease? The Dunedin Study.R01AG032282 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI CASPI, AVSHALOM, MOFFITT, TERRIE E · 2009 to 2025
$9.5M
Jacobs FoundationNew Zealand Health Research CouncilNew Zealand Ministry of Business, Innovation and EmploymentNIA NIH HHS R01 AG032282UK Medical Research Council MR/KOO38IXUS National Institute of Aging AGO32282
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and hypothesisSubclinical psychotic symptoms (also known as psychotic experiences comprising positive features only, and schizotypy comprising positive, negative, and disorganized features) are important markers of schizophrenia liability. Different assessment methods detect different sources of meaningful variance and are vulnerable to different biases and sources of measurement error. Whereas interview-rated psychotic symptoms in childhood are known to predict adult schizophrenia diagnosis, the predictive value of parent-rated psychotic symptoms remains unknown. We tested whether clinician-rated psychotic symptoms and parent-rated positive, negative, and disorganized schizotypy in early adolescence are nonredundant predictors of schizophrenia diagnosis by age 38 years. STUDY

designIn a representative birth cohort (n = 1037) from Dunedin, New Zealand, psychotic symptoms were assessed by clinical interview at age 11 years, schizotypy was assessed by parent or caregiver ratings at ages 13- and 15 years, and lifetime schizophrenia diagnosis was assessed throughout adulthood until age 38 years. We tested for redundancy using bootstrapped multivariable logistic regression. STUDY

resultsClinician-rated psychotic symptoms at age 11 predicted adult schizophrenia diagnosis (OR = 2.68, 95% CI = 1.42, 5.06), as did parent-rated total schizotypy (OR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.42, 2.36). In univariable models, clinician-rated psychotic experiences and parent-rated positive, negative, and disorganized schizotypy were significant predictors of schizophrenia diagnosis. In multivariable models where clinician- and parent-rated scores were entered, only parent-rated negative and disorganized schizotypy did not predict adult schizophrenia diagnosis.

conclusionsParent-rated schizotypy and clinician-rated subclinical psychotic symptoms are valid, nonredundant indicators of lifetime risk for schizophrenia.

Indexed as

ParentsPsychotic DisordersSchizophreniaSchizotypal Personality DisorderAdolescentAdultBirth CohortChildFemaleHumansMaleNew ZealandYoung Adultlongitudinalobserver ratingspsychometricspsychosis proneness

Identifiers

PMID40037821
PMCPMC11879580

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.