Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40037557›Full record

ReviewInternational journal of epidemiology2025

Inconsistent consistency: evaluating the well-defined intervention assumption in applied epidemiological research.

Jerzy Eisenberg-Guyot, Katrina L Kezios, Seth J Prins, Sharon Schwartz

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in International journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Toward New Directions in Human Biology: A Roadmap for Anthropological Causal Inference With Observational Data.American journal of human biology : the official journal of the Human Biology Council · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jerzy Eisenberg-GuyotDivision of Epidemiology, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3851-267X
Katrina L KeziosDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7115-032X
Seth J PrinsDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Sharon SchwartzDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAM IN PSYCHIATRIC EPIDEMIOLOGYT32MH013043 · NIMH · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI Katherine M. Keyes · 1985 to 2026
$11.7M
Investigating financial wellbeing, biological aging, and risk of Alzheimers disease and related dementias in a life course synthetic cohortK99AG084769 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KEZIOS, KATRINA L · 2024 to 2025
$263k
Analyzing the roles of social class and power dynamics in health disparities over the life courseK99AG081545 · NIA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI EISENBERG-GUYOT, JERZY · 2024 to 2025
$258k
National Institute of Aging of the National Institutes of Health K99AG081545National Institute of Mental Health of the National Institutes of Health T32MH013043NIA NIH HHS K99 AG081545NIA NIH HHS K99 AG084769NIMH NIH HHS T32 MH013043
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccording to textbook guidance, satisfying the well-defined intervention assumption is key for estimating causal effects. However, no studies have systematically evaluated how the assumption is addressed in research. Thus, we reviewed how researchers using g-methods or targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) interpreted and addressed the well-defined intervention assumption in epidemiological studies.

methodsWe reviewed observational epidemiological studies that used g-methods or TMLE, were published from 2000-21 in epidemiology journals with the six highest 2020 impact factors and met additional criteria. Among other factors, reviewers assessed if authors of included studies aimed to estimate the effects of hypothetical interventions. Then, among such studies, reviewers assessed whether authors discussed key causal-inference assumptions (e.g. consistency or treatment variation irrelevance), how they interpreted their findings and if they specified well-defined interventions.

resultsJust 20% (29/146) of studies aimed to estimate the effects of hypothetical interventions. Of such intervention-effect studies, almost none (1/29) stated 'how' the exposure would be intervened upon; among those that did not state a 'how', the 'how' mattered for consistency (i.e., for treatment variation irrelevance) in 64% of studies (18/28). Moreover, whereas 79% (23/29) of intervention-effect studies mentioned consistency, just 45% (13/29) interpreted findings as corresponding to the effects of hypothetical interventions. Finally, reviewers determined that just 38% (11/29) of intervention-effect studies had well-defined interventions.

conclusionsWe found substantial deviations between guidelines regarding meeting the well-defined intervention assumption and researchers' application of the guidelines, with authors of intervention-effect studies rarely critically examining the assumption's validity, let alone specifying well-defined interventions.

Indexed as

CausalityEpidemiologic Research DesignEpidemiologic StudiesHumansLikelihood FunctionsObservational Studies as TopicResearch Designcausal inferenceConsistencypotential outcomesstable unit treatment value assumptiontreatment variation irrelevancewell-defined intervention

Identifiers

PMID40037557
PMCPMC12225681

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.