Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40032996›Full record

ArticleNature methods2025

Cell2fate infers RNA velocity modules to improve cell fate prediction.

Alexander Aivazidis, Fani Memi, Vitalii Kleshchevnikov, Sezgin Er, Brian Clarke, Oliver Stegle, Omer Ali Bayraktar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature methods, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alexander AivazidisWellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK.
Fani MemiWellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3685-1988
Vitalii KleshchevnikovWellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9110-7441
Sezgin ErInternational School of Medicine, Istanbul Medipol University, Istanbul, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7266-9844
Brian ClarkeDivision of Computational Genomics and Systems Genetics, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6695-286X
Oliver StegleWellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK. oliver.stegle@embl.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8818-7193
Omer Ali BayraktarWellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK. ob5@sanger.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6055-277X

Funding

European Commission (EC) ERC project DECODE, 810296Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 206194Wellcome Trust (Wellcome) 220540/Z/20/A
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

RNA velocity exploits the temporal information contained in spliced and unspliced RNA counts to infer transcriptional dynamics. Existing velocity models often rely on coarse biophysical simplifications or numerical approximations to solve the underlying ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which can compromise accuracy in challenging settings, such as complex or weak transcription rate changes across cellular trajectories. Here we present cell2fate, a formulation of RNA velocity based on a linearization of the velocity ODE, which allows solving a biophysically more accurate model in a fully Bayesian fashion. As a result, cell2fate decomposes the RNA velocity solutions into modules, providing a biophysical connection between RNA velocity and statistical dimensionality reduction. We comprehensively benchmark cell2fate in real-world settings, demonstrating enhanced interpretability and power to reconstruct complex dynamics and weak dynamical signals in rare and mature cell types. Finally, we apply cell2fate to the developing human brain, where we spatially map RNA velocity modules onto the tissue architecture, connecting the spatial organization of tissues with temporal dynamics of transcription.

Indexed as

RNAAlgorithmsBayes TheoremBrainHumansRNA SplicingTranscription, GeneticRNA

Identifiers

PMID40032996
PMCPMC11978503

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.