Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40029903›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2025

Modeling decision-making under uncertainty with qualitative outcomes.

Nachshon Korem, Or Duek, Ruonan Jia, Emily Wertheimer, Sierra Metviner, Michael Grubb, Ifat Levy

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nachshon KoremDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1859-2668
Or DuekDepartment of Psychiatry, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Ruonan JiaDepartment of Comparative Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Emily WertheimerDepartment of Comparative Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Sierra MetvinerDepartment of Comparative Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Michael GrubbDepartment of Comparative Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
Ifat LevyDepartment of Comparative Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.

Funding

Decision making and learning under uncertainty in agingR56AG058769 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI LEVY, IFAT · 2018 to 2018
$757k
Medical decision-making under uncertainty in older adults - behavior and fMRIR21AG049293 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI LEVY, IFAT · 2015 to 2016
$458k
NIA NIH HHS R21 AG049293NIA NIH HHS R56 AG058769
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Modeling decision-making under uncertainty typically relies on quantitative outcomes. Many decisions, however, are qualitative in nature, posing problems for traditional models. Here, we aimed to model uncertainty attitudes in decisions with qualitative outcomes. Participants made choices between certain outcomes and the chance for more favorable outcomes in quantitative (monetary) and qualitative (medical) modalities. Using computational modeling, we estimated the values participants assigned to qualitative outcomes and compared uncertainty attitudes across domains. Our model provided a good fit for the data, including quantitative estimates for qualitative outcomes. The model outperformed a utility function in quantitative decisions. Additionally, we found an association between ambiguity attitudes across domains. Results were replicated in an independent sample. We demonstrate the ability to extract quantitative measures from qualitative outcomes, leading to better estimation of subjective values. This allows for the characterization of individual behavior traits under a wide range of conditions.

Indexed as

Decision MakingModels, PsychologicalAdultChoice BehaviorComputational BiologyComputer SimulationFemaleHumansMaleUncertaintyYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40029903
PMCPMC11918403

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.