Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40029887›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Assessment of climate change impact on landscape tree distribution and sustainability in South Korea using MaxEnt-based modeling.

Dong-Joo Kim, Na-Yeon Han, Mi Na Choi, Moon-Jeong Jang, Man-Seok Shin, Chang Wan Seo, Do-Hun Lee, Yong Sung Kwon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Dong-Joo KimEnvironmental Impact Assessment, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.
Na-Yeon HanDiagnosis Department 1, Jeil Tree General Hospital, Yeongcheon, Republic of Korea.
Mi Na ChoiEnvironmental Impact Assessment, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.
Moon-Jeong JangEnvironmental Impact Assessment, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.
Man-Seok ShinClimate Change and Carbon Research, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9112-2510
Chang Wan SeoDivision of Ecological Research Strategy, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.
Do-Hun LeeEnvironmental Impact Assessment, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.
Yong Sung KwonEnvironmental Impact Assessment, Division of Ecological Assessment, National Institute of Ecology, Seocheon, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-3063-6790

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rapidly changing climate is impacting species globally at an unprecedented rate, including humans. Consequently, extensive research is being conducted on the impacts of climate change on indigenous and vulnerable species. However, landscape trees, which are cultivated and managed by humans, receive less attention despite their significant role in urban environments. Landscape tree also have specific climatic ranges and environmental requirements, making them susceptible to climate change. In this study, we predicted the future sustainability of three native landscape trees (Stewartia koreana, Betula ermanii, and Taxus cuspidata) using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios. A time-series analysis of suitability was conducted, and the resulting maps were overlaid to classify regions of suitability. The findings indicate a general northward shift in climate suitability and a potential reduction in long-term suitable areas for all three species. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, potential suitable area for S. koreana increased, while those for B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by the 2090s. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, suitable areas for S. koreana, B. ermanii, T. cuspidata decreased by 33.6%, 98.9%, and 90.1%, respectively. The climate suitability classification ("Sustainable suitability", "Risk", "Inflow", "Lost", and "Variable" regions) effectively identified areas of sustainability and risk, as well as regions requiring management. A notable decline in "Sustainable suitability" regions, which remained suitable from the present to the 2090s, was observed under the SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to SSP2-4.5. The methods utilized in this study offer valuable insights for future landscape planning and conservation. This research underscores the need for adaptive strategies to mitigate potential economic and ecological impacts of climate change by utilizing species distribution models for sustainable landscape planning and tree conservation.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesModels, TheoreticalTreesEcosystemRepublic of Korea

Identifiers

PMID40029887
PMCPMC11875377

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.