Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40026409›Full record

ArticleJournal of Brown hospital medicine2024

Quality Improvement Study Using a Machine Learning Mortality Risk Prediction Model Notification System on Advance Care Planning in High-Risk Patients.

Jonathan Walter, Jessica Ma, Alyssa Platt, Yvonne Acker, Mark Sendak, Michael Gao, Matt Gardner, Suresh Balu, Noppon Setji

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of Brown hospital medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jonathan WalterDepartment of Medicine Duke University School of Medicine.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8307-5749
Jessica MaDepartment of Medicine Duke University School of Medicine.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9448-0353
Alyssa PlattDepartment of Biostatistics Duke University.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6396-0170
Yvonne AckerDuke University Health System.
Mark SendakDuke Institute for Health Innovation.
Michael GaoDuke Institute for Health Innovation.
Matt GardnerDuke Institute for Health Innovation.
Suresh BaluDuke Institute for Health Innovation.
Noppon SetjiDepartment of Medicine Duke University School of Medicine.

Funding

Support for QA/QC for Prior Approval ProcessUL1TR002553 · NCATS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LI, JENNIFER S, MCNAMARA, JAMES O. · 2018 to 2023
$58.5M
University of Michigan (UM) HEAL Initiative National K12 Clinical Pain Career Development Program (UM-HCPDP)K12NS130673 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Daniel J Clauw, Steven Edward Harte · 2022 to 2026
$12.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002553NINDS NIH HHS K12 NS130673
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAdvance care planning (ACP) is an important aspect of patient care that is underutilized. Machine learning (ML) models can help identify patients appropriate for ACP. The objective was to evaluate the impact of using provider notifications based on an ML model on the rate of ACP documentation and patient outcomes.

methodsThis was a pre-post QI intervention study at a tertiary academic hospital. Adult patients admitted to general medicine teams identified to be at elevated risk of mortality using an ML model were included in the study. The intervention consisted of notifying a provider by email and page for a patient identified by the ML model.

resultsA total of 479 encounters were analyzed of which 282 encounters occurred post-intervention. The covariate-adjusted proportion of higher-risk patients with documented ACP rose from 6.0% at baseline to 56.5% (Risk Ratio (RR)= 9.42, 95% CI: 4.90 - 18.11). Patients with ACP were more than twice as likely to have code status reduced when ACP was documented (29.0% vs. 10.8% RR=2.69, 95% CI: 1.64 - 4.27). Additionally, patients with ACP had twice the odds of hospice referral (22.2% vs. 12.6% Odds Ratio=2.16, 95% CI: 1.16 - 4.01). However, patients with ACP documented had a longer mean LOS (9.7 vs. 7.6 days, Event time ratio = 1.29, 95% CI: 1.10 - 1.53).

conclusionProvider notifications using an ML model can lead to an increase in completion of ACP documentation by frontline clinicians in the inpatient setting.

Indexed as

ACPAdvance care planningMachine learning modelQuality improvement

Identifiers

PMID40026409
PMCPMC11864393

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.