Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40025568›Full record

ReviewCancer cell international2025

Prognostic and predictive role of circulating tumor DNA detection in patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Xindong Gao, Wenqiang Qi, Junxian Li, Yangyang Xia, Pengzhong Ding, Dongyue Guo, Benkang Shi, Xuewen Jiang

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Cancer cell international, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Towards biomarker-driven therapies for urothelial carcinoma.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Xindong Gao *Department of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Wenqiang Qi *Department of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Junxian LiDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Yangyang XiaDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Pengzhong DingDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Dongyue GuoDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Benkang ShiDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China.
Xuewen JiangDepartment of Urology, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, Jinan, China. Xwjiang@sdu.edu.cn.

Funding

the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province ZR2023QH010
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAt present, there is no effective prognostic indicator for muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). A liquid biopsy method, plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection, was evaluated for use in predicting the prognosis of different cancers. This study aims to assess the prognostic value of ctDNA state for muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients.

methodsWe comprehensively searched three public databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library) in December 2023 according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) statement. Studies investigating ctDNA and prognostic outcome indicators in patients with MIBC were included in our analysis. The hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted to evaluate the association between ctDNA and the prognosis in patients with MIBC.

resultsEleven studies and 1,170 patients diagnosed with muscle-invasive bladder cancer, comprising a total of four retrospective cohort studies and eight prospective cohort studies, included in our meta-analysis, one of which had two different cohorts. The analysis revealed that a positive ctDNA state was associated with poor overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with MIBC (HR = 4.51, 95% CI: 2.64-7.69, P < 0.001; HR = 4.50, 95% CI: 2.77-7.30, P < 0.001; HR = 6.56, 95% CI: 4.18-10.30, P < 0.001), with significant prognostic effects both pre- and post-treatment. In addition, longitudinal ctDNA analysis proved to be effective in the monitoring of patients with MIBC receiving different treatments (HR = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.14-0.41, P < 0.001).

conclusionsA positive ctDNA state was associated with poor OS, PFS, and RFS in patients with MIBC pre- and post-treatment. Meanwhile, clearance of ctDNA was associated with improved RFS in patients with MIBC. These findings suggest that the ctDNA state is a predictive and prognostic indicator for patients with MIBC, which can be used to monitor recurrence and guide treatment. Thus, ctDNA level detection shows potential for the treatment and prognosis of patients with MIBC.

Indexed as

Circulating tumor DNAMeta-analysisMuscle invasive bladder cancerPrognosisSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID40025568
PMCPMC11871843

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.