Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40025164›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2025

Effective disc age: a statistical model for age-dependent and level-specific lumbar disc degeneration using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

Harrah R Newman, John M Peloquin, Kyle D Meadows, Barry A Bodt, Edward J Vresilovic, Dawn M Elliott

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Age-referenced modeling of lumbar disc degeneration and its association with chronic low back pain: an MRI-based cross-sectional study.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
    Article
  4. Intervertebral disc degeneration.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
    Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Harrah R NewmanUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA.
John M PeloquinUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA.
Kyle D MeadowsUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA.
Barry A BodtUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA.
Edward J VresilovicUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA.
Dawn M ElliottUniversity of Delaware, Newark, USA. delliott@udel.edu.

Funding

Disc Mechanics and Altered Loading in DegenerationR01AR050052 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI ELLIOTT, DAWN M · 2005 to 2024
$4.7M
Non-Invasive Evaluation of In Vivo Intervertebral Disc Mechanical FunctionF31AR081687 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF DELAWARE · PI NEWMAN, HARRAH · 2022 to 2024
$124k
NIAMS NIH HHS F31 AR081687NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR050052NIH HHS R01AR050052
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIntervertebral disc degeneration progresses with normal aging; yet common disc grading schemes do not account for age. Degeneration progression also varies between spine levels and is similarly not accounted for by current grading schemes. These limitations inhibit differentiation between discs with normal and expected aging (non-pathological) and discs with accelerated degeneration (which may be pathological). We sought to develop a statistical model to quantify normal age and spine level dependent disc degeneration.

methodsEighty-four asymptomatic adult subjects ranging evenly from 18 to 83 years old underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the lumbar spine. Subject traits, MRI-derived disc geometry, and MRI biomarkers of T2 relaxation time were evaluated and used to develop a statistical model to predict effective disc age, the age at which normal aging would produce a disc's observed phenotype.

resultsAfter evaluating several models, a 4-predictor model utilizing 1) subject height, 2) nucleus pulposus T2 relaxation time, 3) disc mid-sagittal area and 4) disc 3D volume, optimally estimated effective disc age. The effective age closely tracked true age for spine levels L1-L5 (R

conclusionWe offer a data-driven, quantitative tool to quantify normal, expected intervertebral disc aging. This effective age model allows future research to target discs with accelerated degeneration.

Indexed as

AgingIntervertebral DiscIntervertebral Disc DegenerationLumbar VertebraeMagnetic Resonance ImagingModels, StatisticalAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultAgingDegenerationIntervertebral discMRI

Identifiers

PMID40025164
PMCPMC12106566

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.