Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40024070›Full record

ArticleSeminars in arthritis and rheumatism2025

Quantifying and improving rheumatoid arthritis algorithm performance in biobank settings.

Vanessa L Kronzer, Katrina A Williamson, Andrew C Hanson, Jennifer A Sletten, Jeffrey A Sparks, John M Davis, Cynthia S Crowson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Seminars in arthritis and rheumatism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Vanessa L KronzerDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: kronzer.vanessa@mayo.edu.
Katrina A WilliamsonDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: kawilliamson18@gmail.com.
Andrew C HansonDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: Hanson.Andrew@mayo.edu.
Jennifer A SlettenDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: Sletten.Jennifer@mayo.edu.
Jeffrey A SparksDivision of Rheumatology, Inflammation, and Immunity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, USA. Electronic address: jsparks@bwh.harvard.edu.
John M DavisDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: Davis.John4@mayo.edu.
Cynthia S CrowsonDivision of Rheumatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA; Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: crowson@mayo.edu.

Funding

HEART DISEASE IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITISR01AR046849 · NIAMS · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI CROWSON, CYNTHIA S · 2000 to 2022
$11.3M
VERITY: Value and Evidence in Rheumatology using bioInformaTics, and advanced analYticsP30AR072577 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Daniel Hal Solomon · 2017 to 2026
$9.8M
Joint Biology Consortium Resource-based CenterP30AR070253 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Peter A Nigrovic, Jeffrey Andrew Sparks · 2016 to 2026
$9.4M
Rheumatoid Arthritis-Related Autoantibodies, Articular Inflammation, and RA-Associated Interstitial Lung DiseaseR01AR077607 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SPARKS, JEFFREY ANDREW · 2021 to 2025
$3.7M
Rheumatoid Arthritis-associated Parenchymal Lung Disease: Clinical and Molecular PhenotypesR01HL155522 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Jeffrey Andrew Sparks, George R Washko · 2022 to 2026
$3.5M
Immunologic and Clinical Sequelae after COVID-19 in Patients with Systemic Autoimmune Rheumatic DiseasesR01AR080659 · NIAMS · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Jeffrey Andrew Sparks · 2023 to 2026
$2.9M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL155522NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR070253NIAMS NIH HHS P30 AR072577NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR046849NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR077607NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR080659
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo quantify and improve the performance of standard rheumatoid arthritis (RA) algorithms in a biobank setting.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study within the Mayo Clinic (MC) Biobank and MC Tapestry Study identified RA cases by presence of at least two RA codes OR positive anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies (CCP) plus disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) prescription as of 7/18/2022. Rheumatology physicians manually verified all RA cases using RA criteria and/or rheumatology physician diagnosis plus DMARD use. All other biobank participants served as non-RA controls. We defined seropositivity as rheumatoid factor and/or anti-CCP positivity. We assessed rules-based and Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) RA algorithms using positive predictive value (PPV). Finally, we developed a novel RA algorithm using a LASSO-based machine learning approach with five-fold cross validation.

resultsWe identified 1,316 confirmed RA cases (968 MC Biobank, 348 Tapestry, 70 % seropositive) and 82,123 non-RA controls (mean age 65, 61 % female). The PPV of 3 RA codes was 43 %, codes plus DMARD was 54 %, and codes plus DMARD plus seropositivity was 85 %. The PPV of eMERGE was 77 %. Available in the MC Biobank, self-reported RA (PPV 10 %) only minimally improved algorithm performance (PPV from 83 % to 85 %), whereas family history of RA (PPV 3 %) worsened performance. At 90 % PPV, the novel RA algorithm incorporating key variables such as anti-CCP and DMARD use increased sensitivity by 4-11 % compared to eMERGE.

conclusionRules-based and eMERGE RA algorithms had worse performance in biobank than administrative settings. Our novel RA algorithm outperformed these standard algorithms.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsArthritis, RheumatoidBiological Specimen BanksAdultAgedAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAntirheumatic AgentsFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRheumatoid FactorAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAntirheumatic AgentsRheumatoid FactorAlgorithmAnti-CCPBiobankRheumatoid arthritis

Identifiers

PMID40024070
PMCPMC12048211

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.