Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40022122›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2025

Comparison of triglyceride glucose index and modified triglyceride glucose indices in predicting cardiovascular diseases incidence among populations with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages 0-3: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

Jianan Hong, Ruiying Zhang, Haoxian Tang, Shiwan Wu, Yequn Chen, Xuerui Tan

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jianan Hong *Department of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Ruiying Zhang *Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Haoxian TangDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Shiwan WuShantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Yequn ChenDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China. gdcycyq@163.com.
Xuerui TanDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China. doctortxr@126.com.

Funding

2021 Guangdong Province Science and Technology Special Fund 2021-88-532022 Guangdong Province Science and Technology Special Fund 2022-124-6Innovation Team Project of Guangdong Ordinary Colleges and Universities (Natural Science) 2024KCXTD019National Health Commission Medical and Health Technology Development Research Center WKZX2022JG0138
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome has been recently proposed by American Heart Association recently. The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and TyG-related indices combined with obesity indicators have proven to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). However, there are few studies to explore whether these associations exist among people with CKM syndrome stages 0-3.

methodsA total of 7,364 participants from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were included. Cox hazard regression and restricted cubic spline regression were used to analyze the associations of these indices with CVD incidence. To compare predictive performance, time-dependent Harrell's C-indices, net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement were conducted.

resultsThe CVD incidence was 20.55% over nine years. The TyG single index and all the modified TyG indices were capable of predicting CVD incidence. RCS regression analyses showed that all indicators had linear relationships with CVD incidence and these linear relationships of TyG combined with waist circumference (TyG-WC) or waist-to-height ratio (TyG-WHtR) still existed in CKM stage 1, stage 2 and stage 3. TyG-WC (C-index: 0.621, p < 0.001) and TyG-WHtR (C-index: 0.621, p < 0.001) almost had the highest C-indices in predicting CVD incidence, compared to single TyG index (C-index: 0.611, p < 0.001) and TyG combined with body mass index (C-index: 0.616, p < 0.001).

conclusionThe TyG index and all the modified TyG indices were independent predictors of CVD incidence among people with CKM syndrome stages 0-3. It was found that modified indices had better predictive performance, especially TyG combined with waist circumference or waist-to-height ratio.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseCardiovascular DiseasesKidney DiseasesMetabolic SyndromeTriglyceridesAgedBiomarkersChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisBiomarkersBlood GlucoseTriglyceridesCardiovascular diseaseCardiovascular kidney metabolic syndromeModified triglyceride glucose indicesTriglyceride glucose index

Identifiers

PMID40022122
PMCPMC11871812

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.