Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40021303›Full record

SynthesisThe Lancet. Global health2025

Vertical transmission of hepatitis B virus in the WHO African region: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Nicholas Riches, Marc Y R Henrion, Peter MacPherson, Camilla Hahn, Rabson Kachala, Thomas Mitchell, Daniel Murray, Wongani Mzumara, Owen Nkoka, Alison J Price and 12 more

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Lancet. Global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Awareness is inadequate among high school children about the hepatitis B virus infection in India.Indian journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Indian Society of Gastroenterology · 2026
    Article
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  12. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Nicholas RichesMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Lilongwe, Malawi; Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.
Marc Y R HenrionDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK; Statistical Support Unit, Blantyre, Malawi.
Peter MacPhersonSchool of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK; Clinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Camilla HahnInstitute of Tropical Medicine, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany; German Centre for Infection Research, Tübingen, Germany.
Rabson KachalaViral Hepatitis Programme, Department of HIV/AIDS, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Thomas MitchellDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.
Daniel MurrayDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK.
Wongani MzumaraViral Hepatitis Programme, Department of HIV/AIDS, Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Owen NkokaMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Lilongwe, Malawi; School of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Alison J PriceMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Lilongwe, Malawi; Clinical Research Department, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Jennifer RichesMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Aoife SeeryEast Sussex Healthcare National Health Service Trust, Bexhill, UK.
Noel ThomMalawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Anne LoarecMédecins Sans Frontières, Maputo, Mozambique.
Maud LemoineDepartment of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, UK; Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Banjul, The Gambia.
Gibril NdowDepartment of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, UK; Medical Research Council Unit The Gambia, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Banjul, The Gambia.
Yusuke ShimakawaInsitut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, Unité d'Épidémiologie des Maladies Émergentes, Paris, France.
Peyton ThompsonDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Camille MorganDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Shalini DesaiGlobal HIV, Hepatitis and STI Programme, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
Philippa EasterbrookGlobal HIV, Hepatitis and STI Programme, WHO, Geneva, Switzerland.
Alexander J StockdaleMalawi Liverpool Wellcome Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi; Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. Electronic address: a.stockdale@liverpool.ac.uk.

Funding

Wellcome TrustWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMore new infections with hepatitis B virus (HBV) occur annually in the WHO African region than in the rest of the world combined. We did a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) in pregnant women and vertical transmission events in the region.

methodsIn this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Africa Index Medicus, and Africa Journals Online for publications between Jan 1, 1992, and Jan 7, 2024, with no language restrictions. HBsAg prevalence and vertical transmission (HBsAg positivity in children aged 6-12 months) were estimated with the use of binomial mixed models with logit links, stratified by infant vaccination status. We estimated HBsAg prevalence for subregions of Africa and for the WHO African region by weighting by estimated livebirths for each subregion. We estimated transmission events using WHO and UNICEF vaccine coverage data and UN population estimates.

findingsWe included 113 studies reporting on HBsAg prevalence from 190 983 pregnant women and 11 studies reporting on vertical transmission. HBsAg prevalence in women receiving antenatal care in the WHO African region (based on 2014-23 data) was 6·2% (95% CI 5·3-7·2). No relationship between risk of bias and HBsAg prevalence was observed. In 2022, an estimated 172 000 vertical transmission events (95% CI 82 000-383 000) occurred (0·4% of livebirths), a fall from a peak of 339 000 (149 000-634 000; 1·2% of all livebirths) in 2001. Increasing birth dose vaccination coverage to the WHO target of 90% could reduce vertical transmission by 43·7% (95% CI 11·6-78·0) to 97 000 events per year (95% CI 58 000-160 000). Adding maternal antiviral prophylaxis with 90% coverage could reduce transmission by 86·3% (95% CI 78·4-94·6) to 24 000 events per year (95% CI 14 000-39 000; 0·06% of livebirths) and achieve WHO elimination targets.

interpretationVertical transmission is an important contributor to HBV transmission in the WHO African region. Scaling up of hepatitis B birth dose vaccination and antiviral prophylaxis is urgently needed, which could achieve elimination of vertical transmission.

fundingWellcome Trust.

Indexed as

Hepatitis BInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalPregnancy Complications, InfectiousAfricaFemaleHepatitis B Surface AntigensHumansPregnancyPrevalenceWorld Health OrganizationHepatitis B Surface Antigens

Identifiers

PMID40021303
PMCPMC11868780

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.