Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40020634›Full record

ArticleEnvironment international2025

Sociodemographic and geographic inequalities in exposure to projected hot and extreme summer days in England: A nationwide socio-spatial analysis.

Jonathan R Olsen, Claire Niedzwiedz, Natalie Nicholls, Benedict W Wheeler, Frederick K Ho, Jill P Pell

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environment international, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jonathan R OlsenMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, UK. Electronic address: Jonathan.olsen@glasgow.ac.uk.
Claire NiedzwiedzSchool of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, UK.
Natalie NichollsMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, UK.
Benedict W WheelerEuropean Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter Medical School, University of Exeter, UK.
Frederick K HoSchool of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, UK.
Jill P PellSchool of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionClimate change is a global health emergency, with extreme heat events increasing morbidity, mortality, and hospitalisations, and exacerbating health and social inequalities. Global temperatures have risen by over 1.1 °C since pre-industrial times and could reach 2.5 °C or even 4.0 °C based on current policies. This study examined how projected climate change will vary geographically and by population sub-group in England, to assess whether these changes will affect existing health inequalities.

methodsWe used small-area baseline (2001 to 2020) and climate projection data from the UK's Met Office, linking it to area-level sociodemographic (2019) and health data (2016/17 to 2020/21), including age, socioeconomic status, ethnicity, hospital admissions, and mortality. Summated numbers of hot and extreme summer days were plotted by area-level health and sociodemographic quintiles. Models assessed the association between area-level quintiles and the projected number of hot (>30 °C) and extreme (>35 °C) summer days under 2.5 °C and 4.0 °C global heating scenarios.

resultsThere were clear geographical variations in experiencing hot and extreme summer days, with the South of England seeing the highest increases. The pattern of projected temperature increases does not align with typical health inequalities, as less deprived areas will experience more hot and extreme summer days, while areas with larger ethnic minority populations will face a greater number.

conclusionClimate adaptation strategies are needed to two levels: (1) locally to support vulnerable population groups in coping with global heating; and (2) national and global strategies to prevent global temperatures from exceeding 2.5 °C or reaching 4.0 °C, given the severe population-level health risks such increases would entail.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEnvironmental ExposureExtreme HeatHot TemperatureAdolescentAdultAgedEnglandFemaleHealth Status DisparitiesHumansMiddle AgedSeasonsSocioeconomic FactorsSpatial AnalysisClimate changeGeographical inequalitiesGlobal heatingHealthHealth inequalitiesInequalities

Identifiers

PMID40020634
PMCPMC12316637

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.