Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40019942›Full record

ArticlePLoS medicine2025

Polygenic risk scores for pan-cancer risk prediction in the Chinese population: A population-based cohort study based on the China Kadoorie Biobank.

Meng Zhu, Xia Zhu, Yuting Han, Zhimin Ma, Chen Ji, Tianpei Wang, Caiwang Yan, Ci Song, Canqing Yu, Dianjianyi Sun and 17 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Polygenic risk scores in cancer.Medizinische Genetik : Mitteilungsblatt des Berufsverbandes Medizinische Genetik e.V · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

Meng ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Xia ZhuDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Yuting HanDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Zhimin MaDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1354-1055
Chen JiDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Tianpei WangDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Caiwang YanDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Ci SongDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Canqing YuDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0019-0014
Dianjianyi SunDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3651-6693
Yue JiangDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Jiaping ChenDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Ling YangMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5750-6588
Yiping ChenMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Huaidong DuMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9814-0049
Robin WaltersMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9179-0321
Iona Y MillwoodMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Juncheng DaiDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3909-5671
Hongxia MaDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Zhengdong ZhangJiangsu Key Lab of Cancer Biomarkers, Prevention and Treatment, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine and China International Cooperation Center for Environment and Human Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Zhengming ChenClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Zhibin HuDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8277-5234
Jun LvDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Guangfu JinDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0249-5337
Liming LiDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Hongbing ShenDepartment of Epidemiology, Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2581-5906
China Kadoorie Biobank Collaborative Group

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPolygenic risk scores (PRSs) have been extensively developed for cancer risk prediction in European populations, but their effectiveness in the Chinese population remains uncertain. METHODS AND

findingsWe constructed 80 PRSs for the 13 most common cancers using seven schemes and evaluated these PRSs in 100,219 participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB). The optimal PRSs with the highest discriminatory ability were used to define genetic risk, and their site-specific and cross-cancer associations were assessed. We modeled 10-year absolute risk trajectories for each cancer across risk strata defined by PRSs and modifiable risk scores and quantified the explained relative risk (ERR) of PRSs with modifiable risk factors for different cancers. More than 60% (50/80) of the PRSs demonstrated significant associations with the corresponding cancer outcomes. Optimal PRSs for nine common cancers were identified, with each standard deviation increase significantly associated with corresponding cancer risk (hazard ratios (HRs) ranging from 1.20 to 1.76). Compared with participants at low genetic risk and reduced modifiable risk scores, those with high genetic risk and elevated modifiable risk scores had the highest risk of incident cancer, with HRs ranging from 1.97 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-3.48 for cervical cancer, P = 0.020) to 8.26 (95% CI: 1.92-35.46 for prostate cancer, P = 0.005). We observed nine significant cross-cancer associations for PRSs and found the integration of PRSs significantly increased the prediction accuracy for most cancers. The PRSs contributed 2.6%-20.3%, while modifiable risk factors explained 2.3%-16.7% of the ERR in the Chinese population.

conclusionsThe integration of existing evidence has facilitated the development of PRSs associated with nine common cancer risks in the Chinese population, potentially improving clinical risk assessment.

Indexed as

Multifactorial InheritanceNeoplasmsAdultAgedBiological Specimen BanksChinaCohort StudiesEast Asian PeopleFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetic Risk ScoreHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40019942
PMCPMC11870365

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.