ArticleNational tax journal2024
Do the Effects of Alcohol Excise Taxes Differ by Drinking Level and by Income Level?
Article in National tax journal, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Quantifying the potential of alcohol policies for cancer prevention in the EU: a modelling study.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2026Article
- Targeting alcohol use in high-risk population groups: a US microsimulation study of beverage-specific pricing policies.The Lancet. Public health · 2025Article
- The IARC Perspective on the Effects of Policies on Reducing Alcohol Consumption.The New England journal of medicine · 2025Article
- Reducing alcohol use through alcohol control policies in the general population and population subgroups: a systematic review and meta-analysis.EClinicalMedicine · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
We study the effect of excise alcohol taxes on ethanol consumption and prices paid for alcohol purchases. For our analysis, we exploit an unexpected and large increase in excise taxes that substantially raised alcohol prices in the state of Illinois in 2009. We combine rich, nationally representative household-level data on alcohol purchases with a synthetic control approach that allows us to compare prices paid and purchasing behavior in Illinois with the same behaviors in a weighted set of control states. We show that heavy and moderate drinkers reduced their ethanol consumption by a similar magnitude, thus casting doubt on the notion that heavy drinkers are less responsive to higher alcohol taxes. We also find similar responses for low and high-income households but document that low-income households pay more for ethanol after tax increases, thus supporting concerns about the regressive nature of alcohol taxes.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.