Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40017047›Full record

ArticleAdvanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany)2025

Actionable Forecasting as a Determinant of Biological Adaptation.

Jose M G Vilar, Leonor Saiz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Actionable Forecasting as a Determinant of Biological Adaptation.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jose M G VilarBiofisika Institute (CSIC, UPV/EHU) and Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, P.O. Box 644, Bilbao, 48080, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4037-0746
Leonor SaizDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, University of California, 451 E. Health Sciences Drive, Davis, CA, 95616, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6866-9400

Funding

Eusko Jaurlaritza IT1745-22Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades PID2021-128850NB-I00/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/ FEDER
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Organisms continuously adapt to changing environments to survive. Here, contrary to the prevailing view that predictive strategies are essential for perfect adaptation, it is shown that biological systems can precisely track their optimal state by adapting to a non-anticipatory actionable target that integrates the current optimum with its rate of change. Predictive mechanisms, such as circadian rhythms, are beneficial for accurately inferring the actionable target when environmental sensing is slow or unreliable. A new mathematical framework is developed, showing that dynamics-informed neural networks embodying these principles can efficiently capture biological adaptation even in noisy environments. These results provide fundamental insights into the interplay between forecasting, control, and inference in biological systems, redefining adaptation strategies and guiding the design of advanced adaptive biomolecular circuits.

Indexed as

Adaptation, BiologicalAdaptation, PhysiologicalModels, BiologicalCircadian RhythmForecastingHumansNeural Networks, Computercircadian clocksdynamic adaptationfluctuationsneural networksprediction

Identifiers

PMID40017047
PMCPMC12021117

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.