Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40016700›Full record

ArticleBMC musculoskeletal disorders2025

Magnitude, temporal trend and inequality in burden of neck pain: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Fengshuo Xu, Xiangdong Zhang, Meng Yang, Qi Zhao, Qiusheng Wang, Jie Lian, Rong Zhang, Tianyun Chu, Zhaoxi Kou, Mingyu Zhao

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC musculoskeletal disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Fengshuo XuLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Xiangdong ZhangLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Meng YangLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Qi ZhaoLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Qiusheng WangLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Jie LianLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Rong ZhangLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Tianyun ChuLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Zhaoxi KouLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China.
Mingyu ZhaoLuoyang Orthopedic-Traumatological Hospital of Henan Province, Henan Provincial Orthopedic Hospital, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China. zmyym2003@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to comprehensively assess the magnitude, temporal trends, and inequalities associated with socioeconomic development in neck pain (NP) based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

methodsAn assessment of incidence and years of life with disability (YLD) at the global, regional, and country levels by age, sex and year was conducted for NP. Joinpoint regression (JPR) was used to analyze trends between 1990 and 2019. Decomposition analysis was used to explore the extent to which population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes influenced the changes in incidence and YLD. A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model was constructed to predict trends over the next 25 years. Concentration curve and concentration index were used to examine the cross-country relative inequality of the burden of NP at the socio-demographic index (SDI) level.

resultsIn 2019, the global ASIR and ASDR of NP were 579.085 and 267.348 per 100,000 individuals, respectively. JPR analysis showed that the global ASIR and ASDR have decreased slightly over the past 30 years, although an increase was observed between 2011 and 2019. The BAPC model predicted that this upward trend would continue over the next 25 years. Decomposition analysis showed that the global increase in incidence and YLD in 2019 compared to 1990 was mainly driven by population growth. The burden of NP was higher in the middle-aged, old-age, and female groups, with differences in regional distribution. The analysis of cross-country inequality showed that the burden of NP was disproportionately concentrated in countries with a high SDI, and this phenomenon continued to increase over the 30-year study period.

conclusionsGlobally, NP remains an important public health problem, and governments are urgently required to raise public awareness about NP and its risk factors, implement targeted prevention and control policies, and deliver the necessary health services.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseHealth Status DisparitiesNeck PainAdolescentAdultAgedFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSocioeconomic FactorsYoung AdultBurdenInequalityNeck painPredictionTrend

Identifiers

PMID40016700
PMCPMC11866578

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.