Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40016443›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2025

IA-2A positivity increases risk of progression within and across established stages of type 1 diabetes.

Emily K Sims, David Cuthbertson, Lauric A Ferrat, Emanuele Bosi, Carmella Evans-Molina, Linda A DiMeglio, Brandon M Nathan, Heba M Ismail, Laura M Jacobsen, Maria J Redondo and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Predictive Autoantibodies Before the Diagnosis of Type I Diabetes in Adults.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. New and emerging therapies in type 1 diabetes mellitus.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2026
    Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Emily K SimsDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Division of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA. eksims@iu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4393-954X
David CuthbertsonHealth Informatics Institute, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA.
Lauric A FerratDepartment of Genetic Medicine and Development, Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9685
Emanuele BosiDiabetes Research Institute, University Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milan, Italy.
Carmella Evans-MolinaDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Division of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Linda A DiMeglioDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Division of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Brandon M NathanDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Heba M IsmailDepartment of Pediatrics, Wells Center for Pediatric Research, Division of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetology, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
Laura M JacobsenDepartments of Pediatrics and Pathology, Diabetes Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Maria J RedondoTexas Children's Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA.
Richard A OramInstitute of Biomedical and Clinical Science, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
Jay M SosenkoUniversity of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.

Funding

Revision to the Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNetU01DK106993 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI JEFFREY P KRISCHER, SAMUEL S WU · 2019 to 2026
$181.3M
Data Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet (UC4)USF: TrialNet UC4-3UC4DK117009 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2017 to 2019
$49.6M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Network HubU01DK103282 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI CARLA J GREENBAUM, KURT J GRIFFIN · 2014 to 2026
$14.2M
Northwest Clinical Center for Type 1 Diabetes - TrialNetU01DK061034 · NIDDK · BENAROYA RESEARCH INST AT VIRGINIA MASON · PI GREENBAUM, CARLA J · 2001 to 2018
$10.3M
Type I Diabetes Trialnet at StsnfordU01DK061042 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI WILSON, DARRELL M · 2001 to 2018
$8.5M
UCSF Trialnet: A Phase II Trial of Imatimib in New Onset Type I DiabetesU01DK061010 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI GITELMAN, STEPHEN E · 2001 to 2018
$8.1M
Type 1 Diabetes-A Proposal for Prevention & InterventionU01DK085476 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI MORAN, ANTOINETTE M. · 2009 to 2018
$7.1M
Prediction and Prevention of Type I DiabetesU01DK061058 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BECKER, DOROTHY J · 2001 to 2018
$6.5M
TrialNet: University of Florida Clinical Center and NetworkU01DK085461 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI HALLER, MICHAEL JAMES · 2009 to 2018
$5.9M
TrialNet: Diabetes Type 1 PreventionU01DK085509 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI GOTTLIEB, PETER A · 2009 to 2018
$5.8M
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Clinical Center: Effects of Alefacept in New Onset T1DU01DK085499 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MIAMI SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BAIDAL, DAVID · 2009 to 2018
$4.9M
Vanderbilt University: Clinical Center Application, Type 1 Diabetes TrialNetU01DK085465 · NIDDK · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI RUSSELL, WILLIAM E · 2009 to 2018
$4.8M
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6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisAccurate understanding of type 1 diabetes risk is critical for optimisation of counselling, monitoring and interventions, yet even within established staging classifications, individual time to clinical disease varies. Previous work has associated IA-2A positivity with increased type 1 diabetes progression but a comprehensive assessment of the impact of screening for IA-2A positivity across the natural history of autoantibody positivity has not been performed. We asked whether IA-2A would consistently be associated with higher risk of progression within and across established stages of type 1 diabetes in a large natural history study.

methodsGenetic, autoantibody and metabolic data from adult and paediatric autoantibody-negative (n=192) and autoantibody-positive (n=4577) relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes followed longitudinally in the Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Pathway to Prevention Study were analysed. Cox regression was used to compare cumulative incidences of clinical diabetes by autoantibody profiles and disease stages.

resultsCompared with IA-2A CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationIA-2A positivity is consistently associated with increased progression risk throughout the natural history of type 1 diabetes development. Individuals with single-autoantibody positivity for IA-2A have a greater risk of disease progression than those who meet stage 1 criteria but who are IA-2A

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Receptor-Like Protein Tyrosine Phosphatases, Class 8AdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsYoung AdultAutoantibodiesReceptor-Like Protein Tyrosine Phosphatases, Class 8AutoantibodiesIA-2AIslet antigen-2Precision medicinePredictionProgressionStratificationType 1 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID40016443
PMCPMC12021956

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.