Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40013590›Full record

ArticleOphthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists)2025

Increasing myopia in Scotland at age of 3.5-5.5 years: A retrospective epidemiological study.

Bruce J W Evans, Lee Pentland, Benjamin E W Evans, David F Edgar, Rakhee Shah, Miriam L Conway

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Binocular Vision Anomalies in Scotland at Age 3.5-5.5 Years: An Epidemiological Study.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
    Article
  2. The role of astigmatism in myopia development, myopia progression and myopia control.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Review
  3. IMI-2025 Digest.Investigative ophthalmology & visual science · 2025
    Article
  4. Increasing myopia in Scotland at age of 3.5-5.5 years: A retrospective epidemiological study.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Bruce J W EvansDepartment of Optometry and Visual Sciences, City St George's, University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2824-4595
Lee PentlandNinewells Hospital, NHS Tayside, Dundee, UK.
Benjamin E W EvansDepartment of Optometry and Visual Sciences, City St George's, University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6611-4500
David F EdgarDepartment of Optometry and Visual Sciences, City St George's, University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9004-264X
Rakhee ShahDepartment of Optometry and Visual Sciences, City St George's, University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6134-0936
Miriam L ConwayDepartment of Optometry and Visual Sciences, City St George's, University of London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5016-0529

Funding

HOYA Vision Care
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeScotland has comprehensive child vision screening at age 3.5-5.5 years of age, with ~85% participation (40,000-50,000 screening episodes annually). Orthoptists deliver the screening, including presenting vision, cover test and other tests. Screening failures are referred for eye examinations, including cycloplegic refraction. The study aims to report refractive error data from these examinations (~5000-6000 annually) for 3 years before and 2 years following the COVID-19 pandemic, and to investigate correlations between myopia and socio-economic factors.

methodsRight eye data from eight Scottish health boards (HB) are reported for spherical equivalent refraction (SER) for the years 2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16, 2020-21 and 2021-22. Associations were investigated between the proportion of the sample in each HB with myopia and the proportion of the population in each HB with different levels of deprivation index, classification on a rural/urban continuum and dwelling type.

resultsRefractive error frequency distributions revealed a myopic shift in SER over the 5 years. Median SER (interquartile range) in 2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16, 2020-21 and 2021-22 was +1.38 D (+0.50 to +2.75), +1.38 D (+0.25 to +2.63), +1.38 D (+0.50 to +2.75), +1.13 D (+0.25 to +2.25) and +1.25 D (+0.38 to +2.25), respectively. The increase in myopia was statistically significant in each of the last 2 years compared with each of the first 3 years (p < 0.0005). The proportion of myopes (≤-0.50 D) increased from <7.8% annually in 2013-16 to 11.51% in 2020-21 and 10.65% in 2021-22 (linear trend: r

conclusionsIn this predominantly Caucasian population, the proportion of children with myopia has increased post-COVID. A strong association exists between myopia and living in flats/apartments and urbanicity, but not with a deprivation index.

Indexed as

COVID-19MyopiaRefraction, OcularVision ScreeningChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2Scotlandchildrenmyopiaschool screeningScotlandvision screening

Identifiers

PMID40013590
PMCPMC11976510

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.