Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40012107›Full record

ArticleMedical physics2025

Evaluation of model uncertainty in AI-based synthetic CT generation from CBCT for abdominal adaptive radiotherapy.

Paulo Quintero, Laura Cerviño, Hao Zhang, Wendy Harris

Abstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Medical physics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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3citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Paulo QuinteroMedical Physics Department, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.
Laura CerviñoMedical Physics Department, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.
Hao ZhangMedical Physics Department, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.
Wendy HarrisMedical Physics Department, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, USA.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI SELWYN M VICKERS · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Memorial Sloan Kettering, Medical Physics DepartmentNCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe synthesis of CT from CBCT images using AI methods has been explored in radiotherapy to improve adaptive workflows. However, the model training process can be particularly challenging for the abdominal region due to dataset disparities between CT and CBCT images caused by organ motion, low soft tissue contrast, and inconsistencies in air volumes. These factors might impact the implicit prediction uncertainties, which are not actively considered on the synthetized images, overlooking poorly predicted image regions that might lead to inaccuracies in the dose calculation. PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of the model uncertainty on the predicted Hounsfield Units (HU) and dose calculation on synthetic CT (sCT) for abdominal patients.

methodsCBCT images from 65 abdominal patients were retrospectively used to generate sCT images. Rigid image registration (RIR) and deformable image registration (DIR) were individually implemented to create two datasets (D1 and D2) to train (80%), validate (10%), and test (10%) three models (M1: Unet, M2: Bayes-Unet, M3: cycle-GAN). Treatment plans were made on the ground truth CT (

resultsAcross the three models {M1, M2, M3} trained with D1 and D2, the MAE were {50.9 ± 13.3} and {40.9 ± 11.5}, respectively, the RMSE were {68.3 ± 13.5} and {62.2 ± 10.7}, respectively, and the SSIM were {0.89 ± 0.05} and {0.94 ± 0.05}, respectively. For D1 and D2, the gamma rates were {96.3 ± 1.04} and {97.3 ± 0.2}, respectively. No major differences in DVH were noticed between

conclusionUsing DIR resulted in improved performance across all three models. Metrics used to evaluate synthetic image accuracy might not reflect the uncertainty implications in image quality and dose calculations, which suggests the benefit of displaying uncertainty errors in AI generated sCT as a potential strategy to improve the evaluation of intra-fraction changes used for adaptive abdominal radiotherapy.

Indexed as

AbdomenArtificial IntelligenceCone-Beam Computed TomographyImage Processing, Computer-AssistedRadiotherapy, Image-GuidedHumansRadiotherapy DosageRadiotherapy Planning, Computer-AssistedRetrospective StudiesUncertaintyAI‐modelsynthetic‐CTuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID40012107
PMCPMC12767568

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.