Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40011482›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Unprotected carbon dominates decadal soil carbon increase.

Minglong Liu, Shilu Zheng, Elise Pendall, Pete Smith, Jiajia Liu, Jinquan Li, Changming Fang, Bo Li, Ming Nie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
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  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Minglong LiuState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Shilu ZhengState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0332-2753
Elise PendallHawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, NSW, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1651-8969
Pete SmithInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3784-1124
Jiajia LiuState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1923-5964
Jinquan LiState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2219-2571
Changming FangState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Bo LiState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0439-5666
Ming NieState Key Laboratory of Wetland Conservation and Restoration, National Observations and Research Station for Wetland Ecosystems of the Yangtze Estuary, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Biodiversity Science and Ecological Engineering, and Institute of Eco-Chongming, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, China. mnie@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0702-8009

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32301402National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32430065National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 32471831National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 92251305
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Changes in the distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) fractions - particulate organic carbon (POC; unprotected carbon) vs. mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC; protected carbon) - affect SOC storage and stability. Here, we compile a SOC fraction dataset from 7219 soil samples across six continents. From 2000 to 2022, POC increases by 21.8% while MAOC decreases by 5.3%, leading to a net gain of 11.0% in SOC storage and a 29.1% increase in the POC/MAOC ratio. However, relative to undisturbed natural ecosystems, SOC declines in planted forests, grazed grasslands, and croplands with management practices such as heavy grazing and conventional tillage, primarily due to rapid declines in POC. Our results highlight that the global increase in SOC is mainly driven by POC, but warn of decreasing SOC stability associated with climate change and human activities. Thus, maintaining soil carbon sinks requires targeted strategies focusing on POC.

Identifiers

PMID40011482
PMCPMC11865534

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.