Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40008358›Full record

ArticleiScience2025

The role of memory in affirming-the-consequent fallacy.

Yoko Higuchi, Ethan Oblak, Hiroko Nakamura, Makiko Yamada, Kazuhisa Shibata

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yoko HiguchiRIKEN Center for Brain Science, RIKEN, Wako, Saitama, Japan.
Ethan OblakRIKEN Center for Brain Science, RIKEN, Wako, Saitama, Japan.
Hiroko NakamuraJapan Society for the Promotion of Science, Chiyoda, Tokyo, Japan.
Makiko YamadaInstitute for Quantum Life Science, National Institute for Quantum Science and Technology, Inage, Chiba, Japan.
Kazuhisa ShibataRIKEN Center for Brain Science, RIKEN, Wako, Saitama, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

People tend to recognize that a transitive relation remains true even when its order is reversed. This affirming-the-consequent fallacy is thought to be uniquely related to human intelligence. It is generally thought that this fallacy is a byproduct of explicit reasoning at the moment of recognition of the reversed order. Here, we provide evidence suggesting a reconsideration of this account using an implicit memory paradigm, which minimizes the involvement of explicit reasoning. Specifically, we tested a two-stage memory model: (1) when a sequence of events is encoded, the memory of the reversed sequence is formed, resulting in the affirming-the-consequent fallacy, and (2) the memories of the forward and reversed sequences are integrated over time, reinforcing the fallacy. Results of behavioral and functional magnetic resonance imaging experiments were consistent with this memory-based model. Our findings suggest that the affirming-the-consequent fallacy may begin unwittingly when individuals memorize a transitive relation.

Indexed as

Behavioral neuroscienceCognitive neuroscienceMedical imaging

Identifiers

PMID40008358
PMCPMC11850161

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.