Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40006951›Full record

ArticleViruses2025

Perpetuation of Avian Influenza from Molt to Fall Migration in Wild Swan Geese (

John Y Takekawa, Chang-Yong Choi, Diann J Prosser, Jeffery D Sullivan, Nyambayar Batbayar, Xiangming Xiao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Viruses, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

John Y TakekawaU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, Vallejo, CA 94592, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0217-5907
Chang-Yong ChoiU.S. Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, Vallejo, CA 94592, USA.
Diann J ProsserU.S. Geological Survey, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Laurel, MD 20708, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5251-1799
Jeffery D SullivanU.S. Geological Survey, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Laurel, MD 20708, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9242-2432
Nyambayar BatbayarWildlife Science and Conservation Center, Ulaanbaatar 210351, Mongolia.
Xiangming XiaoSchool of Biological Sciences, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73019, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0956-7428

Funding

Transmission dynamics and spillover of avian influenza under changing agriculturaR01AI101028 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF OKLAHOMA · PI XIAO, XIANGMING · 2013 to 2016
$1.9M
Comparative Spillover Dynamics of Avian Influenza in Endemic CountriesR56TW009502 · FIC · ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE, INC. · PI DASZAK, PETER · 2012 to 2012
$300k
FIC NIH HHS R56 TW009502National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) 1R01AI101028-01AINational Institutes of Health (NIH) Fogarty International Center (FIC) 1R56TW009502-01National Natural Science Foundation of China award # 81961128002NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI101028U.S. Geological Survey USGS grant A14-0064U.S. National Science Foundation award #1911955
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Wild waterfowl are considered to be the reservoir of avian influenza, but their distinct annual life cycle stages and their contribution to disease dynamics are not well understood. Studies of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus have primarily focused on wintering grounds, where human and poultry densities are high year-round, compared with breeding grounds, where migratory waterfowl are more isolated. Few if any studies of avian influenza have focused on the molting stage where wild waterfowl congregate in a few selected wetlands and undergo the simultaneous molt of wing and tail feathers during a vulnerable flightless period. The molting stage may be one of the most important periods for the perpetuation of the disease in waterfowl, since during this stage, immunologically naïve young birds and adults freely intermix prior to the fall migration. Our study incorporated empirical data from virological field samplings and markings of Swan Geese (

Indexed as

Animal MigrationGeeseInfluenza A virusInfluenza in BirdsMoltingAnimalsAnimals, WildSeasonsagent-based modelhighly pathogenic avian influenzaHPAImovement ecologySEIR modelsusceptible–exposed–infectious–recoveredswan goosetelemetry

Identifiers

PMID40006951
PMCPMC11861497

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.