Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39999883›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2025

Prolonged coccidioidomycosis transmission seasons in a warming California: a Markov state transition model of shifting disease dynamics.

Simon K Camponuri, Jennifer R Head, Philip A Collender, Amanda K Weaver, Alexandra K Heaney, Kate A Colvin, Abinash Bhattachan, Gail Sondermeyer-Cooksey, Duc J Vugia, Seema Jain and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Simon K CamponuriDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Jennifer R HeadDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Philip A CollenderDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Amanda K WeaverDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Alexandra K HeaneyHerbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Kate A ColvinDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Abinash BhattachanDepartment of Geosciences, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, USA.
Gail Sondermeyer-CookseyInfectious Diseases Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA.
Duc J VugiaInfectious Diseases Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA.
Seema JainInfectious Diseases Branch, California Department of Public Health, Richmond, CA, USA.
Justin V RemaisDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0223-4615

Funding

National Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNIOSH CDC HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coccidioidomycosis, an emerging fungal disease in the southwestern United States, exhibits pronounced seasonal transmission, yet the influence of current and future climate on the timing and duration of transmission seasons remains poorly understood. We developed a distributed-lag Markov state transition model to estimate the effects of temperature and precipitation on the timing of transmission season onset and end, analysing reported coccidioidomycosis cases (

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCoccidioidomycosisModels, BiologicalSeasonsCaliforniaHumansMarkov Chainsclimate changecoccidioidomycosismulti-state modelseasonalitytransmission seasonValley fever

Identifiers

PMID39999883
PMCPMC11858782

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.