Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39998590›Full record

ArticleHead and neck pathology2025

Development and Validation of an Assay to Quantify Plasma Circulating Tumor Human Papillomavirus DNA for 13 High-Risk Types that Cause 98% of HPV-Positive Cancers.

Michael T Wotman, Weihong Xiao, Robyn R Du, Bo Jiang, Keiko Akagi, Suyu Liu, Maura L Gillison

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Head and neck pathology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Time Dependency for Human Papillomavirus Circulating Tumor DNA Detection after Chemoradiation as a Prognostic Biomarker for Localized Anal Cancer.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
    Article
  7. Expanding the Horizons of ctHPVDNA Testing.Head and neck pathology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Michael T WotmanDivision of Cancer Medicine, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Weihong XiaoDepartment of Thoracic/Head and Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1400 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 432, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Robyn R DuDepartment of Thoracic/Head and Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1400 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 432, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Bo JiangDepartment of Thoracic/Head and Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1400 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 432, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Keiko AkagiDepartment of Thoracic/Head and Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1400 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 432, Houston, TX, 77030, USA.
Suyu LiuDepartment of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA.
Maura L GillisonDepartment of Thoracic/Head and Neck Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, 1400 Holcombe Boulevard, Unit 432, Houston, TX, 77030, USA. mgillison@mdanderson.org.

Funding

CPRIT RR17005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePlasma circulating tumor HPV DNA (ctHPVDNA) persistence after curative-intent treatment may identify patients with HPV-positive cancers at risk for recurrence. Technical validation is required for use as an integral biomarker in a prospective clinical trial.

methodsDevelopment and analytical validation of a digital droplet PCR assay for detection and quantification of 13 high-risk HPV types (i.e., Cell-Free 13) was performed with oligonucleotides/plasmids encoding type-specific E6/E7 coding regions. Clinical performance, determinants of detection/quantification, and associations of pre-treatment ctHPVDNA with progression-free survival (PFS) were also evaluated in a prospective cohort of 272 head and neck cancer patients.

resultsLimit of detection, limit of quantification, and linear range of quantification were 5, 16 and 16-200,000 virus copies for all 13 high-risk HPV types. No cross-reactivity was detected across all 13 HPV types. At 10,000 copies, inter-assay coefficients of variation ranged from 0.3 to 4.6%. Multiplexing, DNA purification method, input plasma volume, total input cell-free (< 1800 ng) or genomic (< 700 ng) DNA did not affect HPV detection or quantification. The assay had a sensitivity of 91.7% (95%CI 87.3-94.9%) and specificity of 97.7% (95%CI 87.7-99.9%) for ctHPVDNA detection in the setting of newly diagnosed HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer. Tumor and nodal stage categories, tumor viral load (ρ = 0.41, p < 0.05), and HPV integration status were associated with ctHPVDNA quantitative level. Pre-treatment ctHPVDNA greater than the median (231 copies/ml) was associated with worse PFS (HR = 2.14, 95%CI 1.16-3.97, p = 0.0156) in univariate analysis. However, this was no longer significant after adjustment for clinical covariates (HR

conclusionCell-Free 13 demonstrated excellent analytical performance and clinical sensitivity/specificity in HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer. Pre-treatment ctHPVDNA may be associated with oncologic outcomes.

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNADNA, ViralHead and Neck NeoplasmsPapillomavirus InfectionsAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPapillomaviridaePolymerase Chain ReactionProspective StudiesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, ViralCell-free nucleic acidsOropharyngeal neoplasmsPapillomaviridae

Identifiers

PMID39998590
PMCPMC11861489

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.