ArticleTropical medicine and infectious disease2025
Malaria in Nepal: A Spatiotemporal Study of the Disease Distribution and Challenges on the Path to Elimination.
Article in Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Estimating the burden of imported malaria in the Asia Pacific region: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Journal of travel medicine · 2026Pooled it
- Short-Course Low-Dose Primaquine for Radical Cure in G6PD-Normal Patients in the Pre-Elimination Context of Nepal.Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH · 2026Trial
- Genetic Evidence of Cross-Border Plasmodium vivax Spread in a Malaria Pre-elimination Region of South Asia.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Recent advances in machine learning and Bayesian modeling for tropical disease prediction, diagnosis, and risk analysis: a scoping review.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Malaria incidence (MI) has significantly declined in Nepal, and this study aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution and drivers of MI at the ward level. Data for malaria cases were obtained from the National Surveillance System from 2013 to 2021. Data for covariates, including annual mean temperature, annual mean precipitation, and distance to the nearest city, were obtained from publicly available sources. A Bayesian spatial model was used to identify factors associated with the spatial distribution of MI. Between 2013 and 2021, 7278 malaria cases were reported in Nepal, with a crude incidence rate of 3.0 cases per 100,000 person-years at risk (PYR). MI showed a seasonal variation, with the highest number of cases reported between May and September. The annual MI decreased in recent years from 1.9 per 100,000 PYR in 2018 to 0.1 per 100,000 PYR in 2021. Spatial clustering of MI was observed at the ward level, with most hotspot areas detected in the western Terai plains and upper river valley (URV) areas. Incidence was associated with annual mean precipitation in mm (
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Registered trials
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