Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39997486›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiovascular development and disease2025

Atrial Fibrillation Prediction Model Following Aortic Valve Replacement Surgery.

Nora Knez, Tomislav Kopjar, Tomislav Tokic, Hrvoje Gasparovic

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiovascular development and disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Nora KnezInstitute of Emergency Medicine of the City of Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.ORCID 0000-0002-4933-4947
Tomislav KopjarDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, University Hospital Center Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.ORCID 0000-0002-4745-999X
Tomislav TokicDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, University Hospital Center Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.ORCID 0000-0001-6871-8746
Hrvoje GasparovicDepartment of Cardiac Surgery, University Hospital Center Zagreb, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

(1) Background: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is the most common complication following cardiac surgery. It leads to increased perioperative morbidity and costs. Our study aimed to determine the incidence of new-onset POAF in patients undergoing isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR) and develop a multivariate model to identify its predictors. (2) Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including all consecutive patients who underwent isolated AVR at our institution between January 2010 and December 2022. Patients younger than 18, with a history of atrial fibrillation, previous cardiac surgery, or those who underwent concomitant procedures were excluded. Patients were dichotomized into POAF and No POAF groups. Multivariate logistic regression with backward elimination was utilized for predictive modeling. (3) Results: This study included 1108 patients, of which 297 (27%) developed POAF. The final multivariate model identified age, larger valve size, cardiopulmonary bypass time, delayed sternal closure, ventilation time, and intensive care unit stay as predictors of POAF. The model exhibited fair predictive ability (AUC = 0.678,

Indexed as

aortic valve replacementpostoperative atrial fibrillationprediction model

Identifiers

PMID39997486
PMCPMC11856475

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.