Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39993189›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Weakening AMOC reduces ocean carbon uptake and increases the social cost of carbon.

Felix Schaumann, Eduardo Alastrué de Asenjo

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Weakening AMOC reduces ocean carbon uptake and increases the social cost of carbon.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Felix SchaumannDepartment of Economics, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, Hamburg 20146, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6826-0517
Eduardo Alastrué de AsenjoInternational Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modelling, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg 20146, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9720-0257

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) 390683824
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has been found to be globally beneficial by economic assessments. This result emerges because AMOC weakening would cool the Northern Hemisphere, thereby reducing expected climate damages and decreasing estimates of the global social cost of carbon dioxide (SCC). There are, however, many other impacts of AMOC weakening that are not yet taken into account. Here, we add a second impact channel by quantifying the effects of AMOC weakening on ocean carbon uptake, using biogeochemically-only coupled freshwater hosing simulations in the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model. Our simulations reveal an approximately linear relationship between AMOC strength and carbon uptake reductions, constituting a carbon cycle feedback that leads to higher atmospheric CO

Indexed as

carbon cycleclimate changeintegrated assessmentoverturning circulationsocial cost of carbon

Identifiers

PMID39993189
PMCPMC11892582

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.