Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39986859›Full record

ArticleJournal of safety research2025

Predictors of driving errors contributing to crashes in older adults across age groups, 2010 to 2020.

Gilsu Pae, Jonathan Davis, Joseph Cavanaugh, Motao Zhu, Cara Hamann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of safety research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Gilsu PaeDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States. Electronic address: gilsu-pae@uiowa.edu.
Jonathan DavisDepartment of Occupational and Environmental Health, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States. Electronic address: jonathan-a-davis@uiowa.edu.
Joseph CavanaughDepartment of Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States. Electronic address: joe-cavanaugh@uiowa.edu.
Motao ZhuCenter for Injury Research and Policy, Abigail Wexner Research Institute at Nationwide Children's Hospital, Columbus, OH, United States; Department of Pediatrics, College of Medicine, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States; Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States. Electronic address: motao.zhu@nationwidechildrens.org.
Cara HamannDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States; The Injury Prevention Research Center, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States. Electronic address: cara-hamann@uiowa.edu.

Funding

NCIPC CDC HHS R49 CE003095
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionGiven the largely autocentric nature of the United States, drivers continue to operate vehicles with varying levels of driving ability and self-restriction as they advance into older age. This study explores the associations of vehicle actions and traffic control devices with older drivers' driving errors contributing to crashes, incorporating age group as effect modifiers of these relationships.

methodThis study includes crashes reported to the Iowa Department of Transportation from 2010 to 2020. Analysis was completed for drivers involved in a crash who were aged 45 years and older (n = 254,912). Driving errors were identified based on driver contributing factors reported in the Iowa crash data. A multivariable logistic regression model was built to model predictors of driving errors, focusing on crash-related vehicle actions and traffic control devices. Additionally, interaction terms were incorporated to examine the moderating effect of age groups (45-64; 65-74; 75-84; 85+).

resultsDriving errors increased with age, especially in the middle-old age group (75-84). A higher probability of driving errors was observed in changing lanes, merging, and turning, with right turns showing the most substantive increase in the middle-old age group compared to the other age groups. Stop and yield signs were associated with a higher probability of driving errors, increasing monotonically with age. The middle-old age group exhibited a notable increase in driving errors at uncontrolled or traffic signaled locations compared to the other age groups.

conclusionsThe significant increase in driving errors at and beyond the middle-old age group may demonstrate higher age-related declines in safe driving compared to younger age groups. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Careful evaluations for older drivers' fitness to drive during license renewal periods are needed once drivers reach the middle-old age. Additionally, effective combinations of advanced technologies, traffic systems, and policies are necessary to reduce the burdens associated with aging.

Indexed as

Accidents, TrafficAutomobile DrivingAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleHumansIowaLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsAgingFaultIntersectionsRoad safetyTraffic

Identifiers

PMID39986859
PMCPMC11847146

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.