Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39985158›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2025

Development of a Joint Tumor Size-Overall Survival Modeling and Simulation Framework Supporting Oncology Development Decision-Making.

Herbert Struemper, Chetan Rathi, Morris Muliaditan, Sebastiaan C Goulooze, Richard C Franzese, Alejandro Mantero, Murad Melhem, Teun M Post, Sandra A G Visser

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Herbert StruemperClinical Pharmacology Modeling & Simulation, GSK, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3011-1572
Chetan RathiClinical Pharmacology Modeling & Simulation, GSK, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1015-5199
Morris MuliaditanLAP&P Consultants, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0000-9003-4666
Sebastiaan C GouloozeLAP&P Consultants, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3369-6107
Richard C FranzeseClinical Pharmacology Modeling & Simulation, GSK, Upper Providence, Pennsylvania, USA.
Alejandro ManteroOncology Biostatistics, GSK, Upper Providence, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8462-9487
Murad MelhemClinical Pharmacology Modeling & Simulation, GSK, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA.
Teun M PostLAP&P Consultants, Leiden, the Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9183-2678
Sandra A G VisserClinical Pharmacology Modeling & Simulation, GSK, Upper Providence, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-2186-7195

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tumor size-overall survival (TS-OS) models can support decision-making in oncology drug development by predicting long-term OS based on TS data from early data cuts and baseline patient factors. The current work describes the development of a TS-OS framework capable of predicting OS across a variety of treatment modalities and mechanisms of action in patients with non-small cell lung cancer from seven clinical studies. The presented framework jointly models TS with a bi-exponential Stein model and OS with an accelerated failure time log-normal survival model. In the corresponding link function between TS and OS, the most significant predictor of OS was the tumor growth rate (k

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungDrug DevelopmentLung NeoplasmsComputer SimulationDecision MakingFemaleHumansMaleTumor Burdenmodel‐based drug developmentoncologypopulation pharmacodynamicssimulationsurrogate endpointsurvival analysistumors

Identifiers

PMID39985158
PMCPMC12167917

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.