Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39983069›Full record

ArticleDiabetes/metabolism research and reviews2025

Temporal Trends in the Burden of Diabetes and Its Risk Factors Across the Western Pacific Region Between 1990 and 2044: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Xinwei Liu, Bing Wu, Yongqiang Lai, Xiyu Zhang, Hongyu Li, Fangqi Qu, Chenxi Zhang, Yulu Tian, Xuelian Fu, Jida Li and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes/metabolism research and reviews, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

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5citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Burden and Trends of Nasopharyngeal Cancer Among Younger People in the Western Pacific Region, 1990 to 2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study.Journal of otolaryngology - head & neck surgery = Le Journal d'oto-rhino-laryngologie et de chirurgie cervico-faciale
    Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Xinwei LiuResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Bing WuResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Yongqiang LaiResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Xiyu ZhangResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Hongyu LiResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Fangqi QuResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Chenxi ZhangResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Yulu TianResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Xuelian FuDepartment of Endocrinology and Metabolism, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Jida LiResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Huiqi YangResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Rui ChenResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Baoguo ShiDepartment of Economics, School of Economics, Minzu University of China, Beijing, China.
Yanan MaDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0385-8929
Jia MengDepartment of General Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.
Ye LiResearch Center of Public Policy and Management, School of Health Management, Harbin Medical University, Harbin, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8492-1808

Funding

Heilongjiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China LH2021G015National Natural Science Foundation of China 71874045National Natural Science Foundation of China 72174047
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsWe aimed to assess changes in the burden of diabetes in the Western Pacific region (WPR) between 1990 and 2019, project future trends for 2020-2044, and identify the factors influencing these trends. MATERIALS AND

methodsData from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 were used to calculate the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardised death rate (ASDR) and age-standardised disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate for diabetes in the region. The Nordpred model was used to predict diabetes-related ASIR and ASDR trends over the next 25 years, and an age-period-cohort (APC) model analysed the effects of age, period and cohort. We examined the associations of ASIR, ASDR and age-standardised DALYs rate per 100,000 population with the socio-demographic index (SDI).

resultsWe observed an increasing trend in the incidence. Mortality increased in the lower-middle income group and decreased slowly in the high- and upper-middle income groups. High body mass index significantly affected diabetes, with an increasing influence over time, whereas that of tobacco showed a decreasing trend. The incidence of diabetes showed a trend towards occurring at a younger age, in a manner consistent with the economic development trend. Diabetes incidence and mortality showed the opposite trend in the high-income group, with an increase in SDI.

conclusionsThe burden of diabetes is increasing in the WPR, in association with urbanisation and unhealthy lifestyles. Targeting the risk factors that affect all stages of the disease and managing them through multi-agency collaboration may improve the quality of life in patients living with the condition.

Indexed as

Diabetes MellitusGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPacific IslandsPrognosisQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRisk Factorsage‐period‐cohort analysisdiabetesglobal burden of diseaseWestern Pacific region

Identifiers

PMID39983069
PMCPMC11845174

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.