Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39982548›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2025

Nonoperative Management of Rectal Cancer: Is "Near-Complete" Response Safe to Surveil?

Catherine N Zivanov, Nathan S Kau, Harika Nalluri-Butz, Oluseye K Oduyale, Ahmed A Eltahir, Jared T Yee, Austin R Dosch, Lindsey Zhang, Hyun Kim, Michael D Iglesia and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Catherine N ZivanovDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA. cnzivanov@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7489-5386
Nathan S KauWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Harika Nalluri-ButzDivision of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Oluseye K OduyaleDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Ahmed A EltahirDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Jared T YeeSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Austin R DoschDivision of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, FL, USA.
Lindsey ZhangDivision of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Hyun KimDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Michael D IglesiaDivision of Oncology, Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Michelle L CowanSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Kerri A OhmanSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Paul E WiseSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Steven R HuntSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Matthew L SilvieraSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Matthew G MutchSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
William C ChapmanSection of Colon and Rectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.

Funding

SURGICAL ONCOLOGY TRAINING GRANTT32CA009621 · NCI · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI TIMOTHY J. EBERLEIN, William E. Gillanders · 1988 to 2026
$12.9M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009621
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNonoperative management of rectal cancer in patients who achieve near-complete response following total neoadjuvant therapy remains controversial and understudied.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study conducted at a tertiary National Cancer Institute-designated cancer center included patients with rectal cancer who initiated active surveillance after achieving near-complete response following induction radiotherapy and consolidation chemotherapy. Near-complete response was determined based on restaging endoluminal evaluation and pelvic magnetic resonance imaging. Time-to-event analyses were used to estimate regrowth-free, proctectomy-free, disease-free, and overall survival.

resultsOf 61 patients who achieved near-complete response and initiated nonoperative management between February 2017 and March 2024, 36 (59.0%) maintained organ preservation with a median follow-up of 27.1 (interquartile range [IQR] 17.4-37.4) months. Twenty-five patients (41.0%) developed local regrowth by a median of 5.7 (IQR 3.2-8.2) months. All regrowths occurred within 17.5 months of initial restaging. Twenty-one patients with regrowth underwent salvage proctectomy, of which 20 (95.2%) achieved R0 resection margins. Following salvage proctectomy, four patients (19.0%) developed local recurrence. Disease-free and overall survival 2 years from restaging were 79.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 67.0-93.6) and 93.3% (95% CI 86.3-100), respectively. Overall survival was not significantly different between patients with versus without local regrowth (log-rank p = 0.09).

conclusionsNonoperative management achieves clinically significant organ preservation rates without compromising oncologic outcomes in patients with near-complete response to total neoadjuvant therapy. Active surveillance allows time for continued evolution of tumor response and may substantially expand organ preservation in a patient population who otherwise would undergo avoidable radical surgery.

Indexed as

Neoadjuvant TherapyNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalRectal NeoplasmsWatchful WaitingAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedOrgan Sparing TreatmentsProctectomyPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSalvage TherapySurvival RateNear-complete responseNonoperative managementOrgan preservationRectal cancerWatch and wait

Identifiers

PMID39982548
PMCPMC12133420

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.