Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39973931›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in microbiology2025

Source attribution of human

Cecilie Thystrup, Maja Lykke Brinch, Clementine Henri, Lapo Mughini-Gras, Eelco Franz, Kinga Wieczorek, Montserrat Gutierrez, Deirdre M Prendergast, Geraldine Duffy, Catherine M Burgess and 19 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in microbiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

29 authors.

Cecilie Thystrup *National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark.
Maja Lykke Brinch *National Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark.
Clementine HenriNational Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark.
Lapo Mughini-GrasNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, Netherlands.
Eelco FranzNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, Netherlands.
Kinga WieczorekDepartment of Food Safety, NVRI, Pulawy, Poland.
Montserrat GutierrezFood Microbiology, Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine, Celbridge, Ireland.
Deirdre M PrendergastFood Microbiology, Department of Agriculture, Food and the Marine, Celbridge, Ireland.
Geraldine DuffyTeagasc Food Research Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Catherine M BurgessTeagasc Food Research Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Declan BoltonTeagasc Food Research Centre, Dublin, Ireland.
Julio AlvarezVISAVET Health Surveillance Center, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain.
Vicente Lopez-ChavarriasVISAVET Health Surveillance Center, Universidad Complutense, Madrid, Spain.
Thomas RosendalEpidemiology, Surveillance and Risk Assessment, Swedish Veterinary Agency, Uppsala, Sweden.
Lurdes ClementeNational Institute of Agrarian and Veterinary Research, (INIAV), Oeiras, Portugal.
Ana AmaroNational Institute of Agrarian and Veterinary Research, (INIAV), Oeiras, Portugal.
Aldert L ZomerDivision of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Katrine Grimstrup JoensenDepartment of Bacteria, Parasites and Fungi, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Eva Møller NielsenDepartment of Bacteria, Parasites and Fungi, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Gaia ScaviaDepartment of Food Safety, Nutrition and Veterinary Public Health, Istituto Superiore di Sanitá, Rome, Italy.
Magdalena SkarżyńskaDepartment of Microbiology, National Veterinary Research Institute (PIWet), Pulawy, Poland.
Miguel PintoDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Mónica OleastroDepartment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Health Doutor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), Lisbon, Portugal.
Wonhee ChaEpidemiology, Surveillance and Risk Assessment, Swedish Veterinary Agency, Uppsala, Sweden.
Amandine ThépaultUnit of Hygiene and Quality of Poultry and Pork Products, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety (ANSES), Ploufragan, France.
Katell RivoalUnit of Hygiene and Quality of Poultry and Pork Products, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety (ANSES), Ploufragan, France.
Martine DenisUnit of Hygiene and Quality of Poultry and Pork Products, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety (ANSES), Ploufragan, France.
Marianne ChemalyUnit of Hygiene and Quality of Poultry and Pork Products, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety (ANSES), Ploufragan, France.
Tine HaldNational Food Institute, Technical University of Denmark, Lyngby, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Infections caused by Methods: We constructed a machine-learning model using Results: The results showed that the variety of sources sampled and the quantity of samples from each source impacted the performance of the model. Most cases were attributed to broilers or cattle for the individual and multi-country models. The proportion of cases that could be attributed with 70% probability to a source decreased when using the down-sampled data set (535 vs. 273 of 2627 cases). The baseline model showed a higher sensitivity compared to the down-sampled model, where samples per source were more evenly distributed. The proportion of cases attributed to non-domestic source was higher but varied depending on the sampling strategy. Both models showed that most cases could be attributed to domestic sources in each country (baseline: 248/273 cases, 91%; down-sampled: 361/535 cases, 67%;). Discussion: The sample sizes per source and the variety of sources included in the model influence the accuracy of the model and consequently the uncertainty of the predicted estimates. The attribution estimates for sources with a high number of samples available tend to be overestimated, whereas the estimates for source with only a few samples tend to be underestimated. Reccomendations for future sampling strategies include to aim for a more balanced sample distribution to improve the overall accuracy and utility of source attribution efforts.

Indexed as

campylobacteriosisEuropean unionfoodborne diseasemachine learningsource attribution

Identifiers

PMID39973931
PMCPMC11835883

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.