Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39972434›Full record

ArticleBMC gastroenterology2025

The efficacy and comparison of upper gastrointestinal bleeding risk scoring systems on predicting clinical outcomes among emergency unit patients.

Sezer Arıkoğlu, Onur Tezel, Galip Büyükturan, Bilgin Bahadır Başgöz

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Sezer ArıkoğluGülhane School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Emrah/Etlik, Ankara, 06018, Turkey.
Onur TezelGülhane School of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Emrah/Etlik, Ankara, 06018, Turkey. dr.onurtezel@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3337-2965
Galip BüyükturanGülhane School of Medicine, Department of Gastroenterology, University of Health Sciences, Ankara, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4781-9737
Bilgin Bahadır BaşgözGülhane School of Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Ankara, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5795-533X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGastrointestinal bleeding is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality among emergency unit patients. Several scoring systems are verified for predicting hospitalization and mortality such as Glasgow Blatchford Bleeding Score (GBS), AIMS65 score, Rockall score (RS), and International Bleeding Risk Score (INBS; ABC score). The aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy and predictive value of these scoring systems.

methodsAdult emergency unit patients with gastrointestinal bleeding were retrospectively enrolled. The age, gender, complaints at admission, vitals and examination results, laboratory findings, outcomes, blood transfusion status, and endoscopic interventions were all reported, and GBS, AIMS65, RS, and INBS (ABC) scores were calculated individually for all enrollies.

resultsA total of 311 patients were included. The median age of participants was 70 years (IQR (25-75%): 59-81), and 202 (65%) of them were male. The efficacy of all four scoring systems (GBS, AIMS65, RS, and INBS (ABC)) in predicting hospitalization, need of blood transfusion, determination of high- and low-risk patients, and mortality was found to be statistically significant (p < 0.05 for all). ROC-AUC analysis was revealed that while GBS is the most beneficial in predicting hospitalization, INBS (ABC) has the best predictive value on mortality. Besides, the only scoring model with predictive value in determining the need for endoscopic intervention was RS (p < 0.05).

conclusionThe present study showed that, among adult emergency unit patients with gastrointestinal bleeding, GBS, AIMS65, RS, and INBS (ABC) scores could successfully predict hospitalization, need of blood transfusion, determination of high- and low-risk patients, and mortality. However, the only scoring system that could be used to determine the need of endoscopic intervention is RS. Finally, we believe further studies with prospective enrollment would be beneficial for more accurate conclusions.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalGastrointestinal HemorrhageSeverity of Illness IndexAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBlood TransfusionFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveGastrointestinal system bleedingGlasgow Blatchford scoreRockall

Identifiers

PMID39972434
PMCPMC11840997

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.