Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39972197›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2025

Strategic planning could reduce farm-scale mariculture impacts on marine biodiversity while expanding seafood production.

Deqiang Ma, Benjamin S Halpern, Briana Abrahms, Jacob Allgeier, Jorge García Molinos, Christopher M Free, Melanie Frazier, Kristin Kaschner, Brian C Weeks, Neil H Carter

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Seafood for thought.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Deqiang MaInstitute for Global Change Biology, School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. deqiang.ma@uq.net.au.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8938-1668
Benjamin S HalpernBren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8844-2302
Briana AbrahmsDepartment of Biology, Center for Ecosystem Sentinels, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1987-5045
Jacob AllgeierInstitute for Global Change Biology, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9005-6432
Jorge García MolinosArctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7516-1835
Christopher M FreeMarine Science Institute, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2557-8920
Melanie FrazierNational Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.
Kristin KaschnerDepartment of Biometry and Environmental System Analysis, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany.
Brian C WeeksInstitute for Global Change Biology, School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2967-2970
Neil H CarterInstitute for Global Change Biology, School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4399-6384

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mariculture is one of the fastest growing global markets. Although it has potential to improve livelihoods and facilitate economic growth, it can negatively impact marine biodiversity. Here we estimate local cumulative environmental impacts from current and future (2050) mariculture production on marine biodiversity (20,013 marine fauna), while accounting for species range shifts under climate change. With strategic planning, the 1.82-fold increase in finfish and 2.36-fold increase in bivalve production needed to meet expected global mariculture demand in 2050 could be achieved with up to a 30.5% decrease in cumulative impact to global marine biodiversity. This is because all future mariculture farms are strategically placed in sea areas with the lowest cumulative impact. Our results reveal where and how much mariculture impacts could change in the coming decades and identify pathways for countries to minimize risks under expansion of mariculture and climate change through strategic planning.

Indexed as

AquacultureAquatic OrganismsBiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesFisheriesSeafoodStrategic PlanningAnimalsClimate Change

Identifiers

PMID39972197

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.