Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39968659›Full record

ArticleThe journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences2025

Overconfidence and Financial Risk Tolerance in Older Age.

Colleen C Frank, Gary R Mottola, Meiru Chen, Lei Yu, Patricia A Boyle, Gregory R Samanez-Larkin, Kendra L Seaman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Colleen C FrankCenter for Vital Longevity, University of Texas at Dallas, Dallas, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4256-8983
Gary R MottolaFinancial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Investor Education Foundation, Washington, D.C., USA.
Meiru ChenDepartment of Psychology & Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Lei YuRush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Patricia A BoyleRush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Gregory R Samanez-LarkinDepartment of Psychology & Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7846-3804
Kendra L SeamanCenter for Vital Longevity, University of Texas at Dallas, Dallas, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3008-923X

Funding

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF NEURAL RESERVE AND NEUROBIOLOGY IN AGINGR01AG017917 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BENNETT, DAVID ALAN · 2001 to 2023
$43.3M
Characterizing the Behavior Profile of Healthy Cognitive AgingR01AG034374 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI PATRICIA A BOYLE · 2009 to 2026
$8.8M
Epidemiologic Study of Impaired Decision-Making in Preclinical Alzheimer's DiseasR01AG033678 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BOYLE, PATRICIA A · 2009 to 2025
$7.8M
FINRA Investor Education FoundationNIA NIH HHS R01 AG017917NIA NIH HHS R01 AG033678NIA NIH HHS R01-AG033678NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034374
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesExcessive financial risk-taking in older age can have harmful consequences as opportunities to recover lost wealth are limited. Understanding financial risk-taking in older age is important for identifying vulnerabilities and developing interventions to empower aging investors to make wise financial choices. In this paper, we explore how overconfidence in financial knowledge affects financial risk-taking among older adults.

methodsWe examine this research question in older adults aged 58-101 (N = 1,242) using data from the Rush Memory and Aging Project (MAP).

resultsAfter controlling for demographics, overconfidence was associated with self-reported financial risk tolerance such that those who were more overconfident reported tolerating more financial risks. Moreover, this relationship emerged for both healthy older adults and those diagnosed with mild cognitive impairment. However, overconfidence did not predict performance on a behavioral measure of risk aversion. DISCUSSION: The present results suggest that overconfidence may partially contribute to financial risk-taking in older adults, regardless of cognitive status. Thus, interventions aimed at calibrating confidence to actual levels of financial knowledge could be an impactful target for intervention.

Indexed as

AgingCognitive DysfunctionRisk-TakingAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedConfidenceDecision makingFinancial knowledgeRisk

Identifiers

PMID39968659
PMCPMC12067059

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.