Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39968306›Full record

Trial reportOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Oseltamivir Reduces 30-Day Mortality in Older Adults With Influenza: A Pooled Analysis From the 2012-2019 Serious Outcomes Surveillance Network of the Canadian Immunization Research Network.

Henrique Pott, Melissa K Andrew, Zachary Shaffelburg, Michaela K Nichols, Lingyun Ye, May ElSherif, Todd F Hatchette, Jason J LeBlanc, Ardith Ambrose, Guy Boivin and 18 more

Abstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Henrique PottCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3126-2946
Melissa K AndrewCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Zachary ShaffelburgCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Michaela K NicholsCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Lingyun YeCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-3889-1351
May ElSherifCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0268-7841
Todd F HatchetteCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5377-2528
Jason J LeBlancCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Ardith AmbroseCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Guy BoivinCentre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval, Québec, Québec, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3027-4662
William BowieDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5040-5562
Jennie JohnstoneDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Kevin KatzDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Phillipe Lagacé-WiensDepartment of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Mark LoebDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2315-5390
Anne McCarthyDepartment of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Allison McGeerDepartments of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology and Public Health Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5647-6137
Andre PoirierDépartement de Microbiologie, Infectiologie et Immunologie, Université de Montreal, Québec, Québec, Canada.
Jeff PowisMichael Garron Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
David RichardsonDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology, Willian Osler Health System, Brampton, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6445-6678
Makeda SemretDepartment of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Québec, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3875-4847
Stephanie SmithDepartment of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4910-0083
Daniel SmythDepartment of Medicine, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Grant StiverDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Sylvie TrottierCentre Hospitalier Universitaire de Québec-Université Laval, Québec, Québec, Canada.
Louis ValiquetteDepartment of Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Québec, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-8416
Duncan WebsterDepartment of Medicine, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.
Shelly A McNeilCanadian Center for Vaccinology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Oseltamivir is recommended for the treatment of adults hospitalized with influenza, but adherence is often suboptimal. This may be due to doubts about the reliability of the evidence supporting its benefits, particularly when initiation is delayed. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of oseltamivir in reducing mortality in older adults hospitalized with influenza, with a focus on the timing of initiation. Methods: The CIRN-SOS Network gathered data on severe respiratory illnesses across 5 Canadian provinces during the influenza seasons 2012-2019. Individuals aged ≥65 years with confirmed influenza and available antiviral prescription data were included. We compared the 30-day survival rates of hospitalized patients based on oseltamivir prescription status. Kaplan-Meier estimated survival probability and inverse probability of treatment (IPT)-weighted Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality. The analyses considered the time to antiviral initiation (>48 vs ≤48 hours). Results: Among the 8135 influenza patients studied, 2126 did not receive antiviral treatment, whereas 6009 were treated with oseltamivir. A total of 395 patients were hospitalized for >30 days. The overall mortality rate was 8.32 per 1000 person-days, with 53.9% of the deaths occurring within the first week. Oseltamivir recipients had a 18% lower risk of 30-day mortality (IPT-weighted HR, 0.82 [95% CI, .69-.98]). The benefit was significant for influenza A (IPT-weighted HR, 0.74 [95% CI, .61-.91]) but not for influenza B (IPT-weighted HR, 1.12 [95% CI, .81-1.56]). Oseltamivir remained effective even when initiated after 48 hours (IPT-weighted HR, 0.66 [95% CI, .49-.90]). Influenza vaccination did not mediate the effectiveness of oseltamivir in reducing mortality. Conclusions: Oseltamivir significantly reduces mortality risk in older adults hospitalized with influenza, even when administered after 48 hours, independent of vaccination status.

Indexed as

antiviralfrailtyinfluenzaolder adultoseltamivir

Identifiers

PMID39968306
PMCPMC11834980

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.