Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39968102›Full record

ArticleOsteoarthritis and cartilage open2025

Trends in knee osteoarthritis prevalence over a 10-year period in Japan: The ROAD study 2005-2015.

Gaku Tanegashima, Toshiko Iidaka, Shigeyuki Muraki, Chiaki Horii, Hiroyuki Oka, Hiroshi Kawaguchi, Kozo Nakamura, Toru Akune, Sakae Tanaka, Noriko Yoshimura

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoarthritis and cartilage open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Gaku TanegashimaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Sensory and Motor System Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Toshiko IidakaDepartment of Prevention Medicine for Locomotive Organ Disorders, 22nd Century Medical and Research Center, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Shigeyuki MurakiDepartment of Prevention Medicine for Locomotive Organ Disorders, 22nd Century Medical and Research Center, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Chiaki HoriiDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Sensory and Motor System Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Hiroyuki OkaDivision of Musculoskeletal AI System Development, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Hiroshi KawaguchiNadogaya Hospital, Chiba, 277-0084, Japan.
Kozo NakamuraTowa Hospital, Tokyo, 120-0003, Japan.
Toru AkuneNational Rehabilitation Center for Persons with Disabilities, Saitama, 359-0042, Japan.
Sakae TanakaDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Sensory and Motor System Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.
Noriko YoshimuraDepartment of Prevention Medicine for Locomotive Organ Disorders, 22nd Century Medical and Research Center, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-8655, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to clarify the trends in the prevalence of knee osteoarthritis (OA) and symptomatic knee OA among the general population using population-based cohort data from baseline and a survey 10 years later. Design: The baseline survey of the Research on Osteoarthritis/Osteoporosis Against Disability (ROAD) study was conducted from 2005 to 2007; 3040 participants (1061 men and 1979 women; mean age 70.3 years) completed all OA examinations, including a questionnaire of medical information in the present/past and radiographic examination. The fourth survey was performed from 2015 to 2016; 2893 individuals (895 men and 1998 women, mean age 68.9 years) completed assessments identical to those at the baseline survey. Knee OA was defined using the Kellgren-Lawrence grading system. Results: The prevalence of knee OA was 54.6 ​% (men, 42.0 ​%; women, 61.5 ​%) at the baseline survey and 39.3 ​% (men, 26.9 ​%; women, 44.9 ​%) at the fourth survey, with a significant decrease (p ​< ​0.0001). The prevalence of symptomatic knee OA was 24.3 ​% (men, 16.9 ​%; women, 28.3 ​%) at the baseline survey and 20.6 ​% (men, 14.2 ​%; women, 23.5 ​%) at the fourth survey, showing a similar decrease (p ​< ​0.0001). Thus, the prevalence of knee OA and symptomatic knee OA was lower at the fourth survey than at the baseline survey (p ​< ​0.01). Conclusions: In the population-based survey with a 10-year interval, the prevalence of knee OA and symptomatic knee OA decreased significantly. This preferable change in OA may suggest rejuvenation in the current population and could contribute to a decrease in the occurrence of disabilities in the future.

Indexed as

Cohort studyKneeOsteoarthritisPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID39968102
PMCPMC11834036

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.