Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39967445›Full record

Observational studyThe British journal of surgery2025

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) response after induction FOLFIRINOX for locally advanced pancreatic cancer identifies patients who may benefit from surgical exploration: multicentre, observational cohort study.

Esther N Dekker, David van Klaveren, Eva M M Verkolf, Roeland F de Wilde, Marc G Besselink, Eileen M O'Reilly, Alessandro Paniccia, Matthew H G Katz, Ching-Wei D Tzeng, Alice C Wei and 3 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The British journal of surgery, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. The value of FOLFIRINOX in advanced pancreatic cancer: balancing efficacy, toxicity, and quality of life.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Esther N DekkerDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3040-6736
David van KlaverenDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Center for Medical Decision Making, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Eva M M VerkolfDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Roeland F de WildeDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Marc G BesselinkDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2650-9350
Eileen M O'ReillyDepartment of Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA.
Alessandro PanicciaDivision of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7047-1711
Matthew H G KatzDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Division of Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3870-6968
Ching-Wei D TzengDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Division of Surgery, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Alice C WeiDepartment of Surgery, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2505-959X
Amer H ZureikatDivision of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Bas Groot KoerkampDepartment of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1917-6973
Trans-Atlantic Pancreatic Surgery (TAPS) Consortium

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748The Dutch Cancer Society 13417ZonMw 10140022010009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhich patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer may benefit from surgical exploration after induction treatment remains debated. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to identify independent factors for overall survival after surgical exploration for locally advanced pancreatic cancer, which are available at restaging after induction therapy.

methodsConsecutive patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer from the Trans-Atlantic Pancreatic Surgery cohort who underwent surgical exploration after FOLFIRINOX as induction chemotherapy were included. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses with contour plots were used for the predicted 3-year overall survival in patients who underwent surgical exploration.

resultsOverall, 958 patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer were treated with FOLFIRINOX as induction therapy. At restaging, 221 patients (23.1%) had metastatic disease (M1) and 724 patients (75.6%) did not have metastatic disease (M0)-234 patients (24.4%) with M0 disease underwent surgical exploration and 490 patients (51.1%) with M0 disease did not undergo surgical exploration; restaging information was not available for 13 patients (1%). The surgical exploration cohort included 213 patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer, after excluding 21 carbohydrate antigen 19-9 non-producers. The independent prognostic factors for overall survival after surgical exploration were post-induction carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level (HR 1.14 (95% c.i. 1.01 to 1.29)), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 decrease (HR 0.89 (95% c.i. 0.79 to 0.99)), and a WHO performance status of greater than or equal to one (HR 1.71 (95% c.i. 1.21 to 2.42)). Baseline carbohydrate antigen 19-9 was not prognostic for overall survival after surgical exploration (HR 0.98 (95% c.i. 0.90 to 1.07)). The best predicted 3-year overall survival was achieved with a greater than 80% decrease in carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and a post-induction carbohydrate antigen 19-9 less than 50 U/ml.

conclusionCarbohydrate antigen 19-9 after induction therapy, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 decrease, and performance status are independent prognostic factors for overall survival after surgical exploration for locally advanced pancreatic cancer. Three-year overall survival is best in patients with a performance status of zero, a greater than 80% decrease in carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and a post-induction carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level less than 50 U/ml.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCA-19-9 AntigenPancreatic NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleFluorouracilHumansInduction ChemotherapyIrinotecanLeucovorinMaleMiddle AgedOxaliplatinPancreatectomyRetrospective StudiesCA-19-9 AntigenFluorouracilfolfirinoxIrinotecanLeucovorinOxaliplatin

Identifiers

PMID39967445
PMCPMC11836430

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.