Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39966563›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Global, regional, and national trends in the burden of melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancer: insights from the global burden of disease study 1990-2021.

Lei Zhou, Yun Zhong, Le Han, Yang Xie, Miaojian Wan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Conjunctival Ultraviolet Autofluorescence: A Systematic Review of Factors Affecting Observed Ocular Damage.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
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  20. Immunohistochemical Analysis of pH-Sensitive TRPV5 in Common Skin Tumors.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Lei ZhouDepartment of Dermatology, the Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, 600 Tianhe Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, 510630, Guangdong, China. zhoulei53@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Yun ZhongDepartment of Dermatology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Le HanDepartment of Dermatology, the Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, 600 Tianhe Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, 510630, Guangdong, China.
Yang XieDepartment of Dermatology, the Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, 600 Tianhe Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, 510630, Guangdong, China.
Miaojian WanDepartment of Dermatology, the Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, 600 Tianhe Road, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, 510630, Guangdong, China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82273558National Natural Science Foundation of China 82303988
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study examines global, regional, and national trends in melanoma and non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) burden from 1990 to 2021, their socioeconomic associations, and projects future trends. Data was extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, focusing on malignant melanoma, basal cell carcinoma (BCC), and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). Joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort modeling, and decomposition analysis were used to assess temporal trends. The Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) was applied to examine the correlation between skin cancer burden and socioeconomic development, and ARIMA models forecasted future trends. The global burden of skin cancers has shown significant growth over the study period, with the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) rising globally (Estimated Annual Percentage Change, EAPC = 1.94%) from 1990 to 2021. This increase was particularly pronounced for BCC and SCC, while the melanoma DALYs rate declined (EAPC = -0.67%). In 2021, the most recent year covered, the global incidence of skin cancers was 6.64 million cases, with an ASIR of 77.66 per 100,000 and a disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) burden of 2.89 million cases. Significant geographic disparities were observed, with Australasia and North America reporting the highest ASIR, while middle-SDI regions exhibited rapid increases. Skin cancer incidence is rising globally, driven by demographic changes, increased UV exposure, and improved detection. The burden of melanoma has decreased, which may be related to advances in treatment. Targeted prevention, equitable access to care, and tailored regional strategies are crucial to mitigating the growing impact of skin cancers worldwide.

Indexed as

Basal Cell CarcinomaCarcinoma, Squamous CellGlobal Burden of DiseaseMelanomaSkin NeoplasmsAdultAgedDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSocioeconomic FactorsBasal-cell carcinomaGlobal burden of disease studyHealth inequalitiesMelanomaSquamous-cell carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID39966563
PMCPMC11836239

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.