Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39965863›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

Cost-effectiveness of health insurance among women engaged in transactional sex and impacts on HIV transmission in Cameroon: a mathematical model.

Kasim Allel, Henry Cust, Iliassou Mfochive, Sandie Szawlowski, Emile Nitcheu, Eric Defo Tamgno, Stephanie Moyoum, Julienne Noo, Serge Billong, Ubald Tamoufe and 1 more

Abstract read
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Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Kasim AllelUniversity College London, London, UK kasim.allelhenriquez@phc.ox.ac.uk a.lepine@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2144-7181
Henry CustUniversity College London, London, UK.
Iliassou MfochiveJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Sandie SzawlowskiUniversity College London, London, UK.
Emile NitcheuJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Eric Defo TamgnoJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Stephanie MoyoumJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Julienne NooJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Serge BillongUniversity of Yaounde, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Ubald TamoufeJohn Hopkins Cameroon Program, Yaounde, Cameroon.
Aurelia LepineUniversity College London, London, UK kasim.allelhenriquez@phc.ox.ac.uk a.lepine@ucl.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionHIV prevalence disproportionately affects high-risk populations, particularly female sex workers in Africa. Women and girls engaging in transactional sex (WGTS) face similar health risks from unsafe practices, economic vulnerabilities and stigma. However, they are not recognised.

methodsUsing existing literature and data from the POWER randomised controlled trial, we developed a deterministic compartmental model to assess HIV dynamics among WGTS, their sugar daddies and low-risk populations. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a new structural intervention to prevent HIV among WGTS in urban Cameroon by reducing the financial need to engage in transactional sex in the case of illness and injury shocks to the household. The intervention provided free healthcare to WGTS and their economic dependents through a zero-cost health insurance package. We explored the cost-effectiveness of this intervention considering various population coverage levels (0%, 25%, 50%, 75% and 100%). We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) and HIV infections averted, employing both univariable and global sensitivity analyses. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses considered all parameters, including the insurance effect in reducing HIV, comparing simulated ICERs to willingness-to-pay thresholds. We also compared the health insurance strategy with expanding pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) coverage. All costs were evaluated in 2023 UK pounds (£) using a 3% discount rate, with Cameroon's gross domestic product (GDP) per capita recorded at £1239.

resultsImplementing health insurance coverage levels of 25%, 50%, 75% and 100% yielded ICERs/DALY averted of £2795 (£2483-£2824), £2541 (£2370-£2592), £2263 (£2156-£2316) and £1952 (£1891-£1998), respectively, compared with 0% coverage. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated an ICER=£2128/DALY averted at 100% coverage, with 58% of simulations showing ICERs<GDP per capita. Maintaining health insurance's effect in reducing HIV above 70% could provide significant health and economic benefits. However, antiretroviral therapy (ART) efficacy significantly impacted HIV infection prevention (partial rank correlation coefficient=-0.62, p<0.001) in global sensitivity analyses; expanding ART could reduce the cost-effectiveness of health insurance. While PrEP alone is not cost-effective, combining 20% PrEP coverage with 75%-100% health insurance for WGTS maximises DALYs averted (ICER/DALY averted=£2436-£2102) and reduces infections.

conclusionA comprehensive health insurance scheme for women in Cameroon could significantly reduce HIV infections and DALYs, promoting a more inclusive and targeted healthcare policy for women at high risk of HIV.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisHIV InfectionsInsurance, HealthSex WorkersAdultCameroonFemaleHumansModels, TheoreticalHealth economicsHealth insuranceHIVMathematical modelling

Identifiers

PMID39965863
PMCPMC11836847

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.